Timely Real Estate News.... 15
December 2008
****************************************************************************
Merry Christmas, Happy Hanukkah,
and Kwanza
It's that time of year....and baby, it's cold outside...Winter
doesn't officially arrive until December 21, but it sure feels like it's
here already. And with the Christmas, Hanukkah and Kwanza seasons in
full swing perhaps we can reflect and count our blessings. We have much
to be thankful for. Those of us living on the Westside are still
enjoying better real estate news than in many other parts of the
country. We have held steady on prices for much of 2008, and we have
few foreclosures in the communities of Bel Air, Brentwood, Beverly Hills
and Beverly Hills Post Office. Yes, there are some, but compared to the
rest of our nation and region -- we've hardly been touched.
I apologize for not supplying you with the stats that
are usually included in the Schiffer Line. As you know I get them
from the multiple listing service, and they are installing new programs
that unfortunately has affected the quality of the stats. They
will have the corrected information after the first of the year.
And for Coldwell-Banker, it's been another banner year -- its market
share for all Westside communities for 2008 for both the "buy" side and
"sell" side is a combined 24.56%, nearly 150% more than its closest
competitor. While total sales are down under 40% for all communities I
specialize in, that's still better than the over 50% decline in most all
major metropolitan areas in the United States.
What to expect for 2009? When you
have major disagreement between learned and respected economists at USC
and UCLA, you can count on me NOT making any predictions. UCLA recent
forecast predicts there "might be" a turnaround in 2010.... The forecast
says the economy isn't as bad as UCLA says it is and thinks 2009 will be
tough but believes that recovery will be spurred by Obama's
inauguration. But if recent history is any clue, the Westside will
continue to fare better than just about any other market in the United
States. We'll see.
The "Six Personalities" in my Real Estate
World....I've seen them all -- short ones, tall ones, fat and
skinny ones...but after my years in the real estate business, you
can pretty well 'spot' the type of client you have a first glance. I've
been blessed with having the best clientele on the Planet since my
earliest days in the Marina -- so I wanted to share with you the Six
Personalities that one runs into in our business. I have detailed three
typical buyer types and three typical seller types -- each one has their
own peculiar patterns of behavior (some good, some bad)....so here there
are:
Seller Personalities
Living in the past seller -- Believes
home value is what it was in the past – even 6 months ago….Has the
attitude that their home is exempt from changing property
values…..doesn’t believe the listing agent with the present
“comps” – what is a comp? (the comparable active listings, properties in
escrow and close of escrow prices)....Refuses to consider current market
realities…Dreams about making huge profits....Wants an inflated price
because it is their house…Waits and waits for buyers who never
come….Property languishes on market; value plummets….Frustrated – sees
therapist
Not a seller -- States they are a real seller -- says
things like: "I really want to sell this house”….Emotionally unable to
take any reasonable offer….Doesn’t get home up to market expectations or
priced it accordingly….Presentation is weak or horrible – threadbare
carpets; paint chipping; no landscaping….When a reasonable offer comes
their way -- they find an excuse 'not to accept"....Home languishes
despite reasonable offers….Gets therapy
Strategic seller -- Sophisticated seller who
understands market conditions….Selects Realtor who knows the
neighborhood -- listens to an 'expert'….Prices home realistically from
the onset….Puts home in pristine condition to achieve maximum
price….Establishes an acceptable range of what minimum price will be
before putting house on market….Adjusts price to fit market
conditions….Works with their agent if the pricing strategy does not
work….Sells house at or near asking price.
Buyer Personalities
Wishful buyers -- Thinks the market
downturn means every house is priced too high….Wants 30% discount on
homes in best neighborhood because they can do whatever they want….Loves
to look at houses – especially out of their price range….Doesn’t get
pre-approved by their lender before shopping….Doesn’t continue to work
with their lender as the lending conditions change. Clueless about
what they really want, where to live or what they can afford….Never buys
a house – blames the seller and the agent
Bottom feeder buyers -- Only looks for
sellers in distress….Makes offers so below asking price – wastes
everyone’s time….Switches real estate agents like changing their
socks….Doesn’t appreciate good advice….Becomes nightmare for agent,
escrow officer, lender – who all seek therapy
Strategic buyers -- Does extensive
research – online and with agent….Knows their price limitation….Has been
pre-approved and given the current credit conditions to work with the
lender….Continues to check with lender to make sure they are still in
the same price range they started out in….Knows where they want to live
and what they want in their home….Picks a qualified agent who knows the
neighborhood….Always on top of credit and loan documentation through
process….Ends up with dream house….
I'm sure that each of you is either a Strategic Seller or a Strategic
Buyer, of course.
Fan Mail....From Sheila
Speer...”Dearest Carole....I just truly enjoy your newsletter -- what a
treat. It is unique and informative and sooo well written. I will
always "Count on Carole". Thanks Sheila. It's always nice to hear
compliments about the newsletter and if you would like this sent to
anyone you know, don't hesitate to e-mail at
ceschiffer@aol.com.
Degradable, Biodegradable, Compostable
window.google_render_ad(); The world of green, like any other industry,
has its own language - for the person trying to make some
environmentally changes to their life, it can get awfully confusing -
take for instance the terms degradable, biodegradable and compostable
when used in relation to plastics. There is a difference between the
terms and it may play a role in your purchase decisions.
Biodegradable Plastics
Biodegradable products break down through the action of a naturally
occurring microorganism, such as bacteria, fungi etc. over a period of
time. These products are usually made from plant or animal sources.
Examples of biodegradable include paper, vegetable scraps and some forms
of plastics made from ingredients such as corn starch.
There are some disadvantages to biodegradable waste. When dumped in
landfills, it's often dug under where the "good" bacteria can't survive
in the oxygen depleted environment. It then breaks down under anaerobic
conditions which creates methane, a greenhouse gas with over 62 times
the GWP (Global Warming Potential) of carbon dioxide. Also,
biodegradable waste can contain toxins. For example, human and animal
waste, which is considered biodegradable, may contain traces of all
sorts of toxins such as heavy metals and pesticides depending on the
person/animal's diet.
Degradable Plastics
Degradable plastics are oil based and break down through chemical
reactions rather than the activity of micro-organisms, so they can
degrade in an anaerobic environment into water, CO2, biomass and trace
elements.
Compostable Plastic
This is pretty close to biodegradable plastic but "greener". According
to the American Society for Testing & Materials, for plastic to be
considered as compostable, it must be able to break down into carbon
dioxide, water and biomass at the same rate as paper. It also needs to
look like compost, should not produce any toxic material and should be
able to support plant life. Compostable items are made from plant
materials such as corn, potato, cellulose, soy and sugar.
So:
Biodegradable - green, but can leave traces of toxins
Degradable - made from oil, but breaks down into harmless materials
Compostable - green from start to finish... perhaps
It looks like the greenest choice is clear - compostable plastics are
the most earth friendly option.
Or is it?
Green plastic challenge
One of the problems involved with creating green plastics is the amount
of energy needed in production. In some scenarios, the fossil fuel input
is more than what it is to create the equivalent in crude oil based
plastic product.
All breakdown of the above three kinds of "green" plastics also creates
carbon dioxide. We're somewhat caught between a rock and a hard place in
this. The compromise appears to be using the plants that the plastic is
created from also as an energy source for production.
Instead of carbon emissions being generated from sources sequestered
under the ground such as coal and oil, the burning of corn stalks and
other plants would not increase net carbon dioxide in the atmosphere,
because new plants would absorb an equal amount of the gas.
The SchifferLine Timely Real Estate News.... 1 December 2008
**************************************************************************** The holidays have arrived...
I don't know about you, but it seems that once we have
finished one event, another is just around the corner...and that's the
way it is this time of year with Thanksgiving, Hanukkah, Holiday
parties, bowl games and New Years. One down, more to come. I am tired
already! I have received many compliments from many of you regarding The
SchifferLine, especially after the terrible fire we had in Sepulveda
Pass on October 22, and I thank you for that. It's nice to know you are
reading my newsletter -- I take a lot of pride in this semi-monthly
newsletter, and it gives me great pleasure to serve my friends and
clients this way. If you have any neighbors who would like to get The
SchifferLine via e-mail, please let me know.
************************************************************************* What direction is Westside real estate moving? Forward or
back or treading water?
"The important thing in this world is not so much
where we stand...as in what direction we are moving." Oliver
Wendell Holmes.
So, in what direction are we moving on the Westside?
As we enter the final month of 2008 (where has the year gone?), we find
that we are holding our own. There is “life out there"...and while
there is less volume than two years ago, prices are for the most part
holding their own. Obviously sales volumes are down, and the prices are
a little softer, but contrary to some news reports, there are buyers in
our market because we have the most attractive real estate on the
Planet. And as grim as it might appear, we're still getting multiple
offers on homes that are priced right, and we are seeing as many as 30
to 40 'groups' visiting open houses. These are positive signs….. and
loans are being made. It is just a little more difficult to obtain
one, the banks are being more cautious and the buyers need to have a
larger down payment and good credit.
************************************************************************** Open house news
Homes located in gated communities, such as Bel Air
Crest, Mountaingate, Brentwood Circle, and Beverly Park, of course, do
not get the traffic found with open houses in non-gated neighborhoods
such as in Westwood or Santa Monica....but that is to be expected. The
good news is that there are active buyers in the marketplace today who
are pre-approved and who are looking to move into one of the world's
most desirable residential areas.
************************************************************************* So, what about the money, John?
In my conversations with one of Coldwell Banker's
preferred mortgage lenders, John Ciolino of First Capital of Santa
Monica, he strikes a positive view for 2009 for the availability of home
loans... “The good news is that interest rates are back down where they
should be. We have seen 30 year fixed rates stay at levels about 1%
higher then where they should have been for the last year. With the
investor community hesitant on purchasing mortgage backed securities,
these in turn left consumers with taking higher rates. Well with the
recent government involvement in putting cash into the banking systems
we are seeing affordable financing again. For example several weeks
ago, interest rates came down to 5.25% with a 1 point loan fee for loan
amounts up to $417,000. And for a loan amount up to $625,500 only .125%
higher at 5.375%. That is amazing pricing!”
John's opinion is “....if these rates FINALLY stay down
it will stimulate buyers to step back into the market. This will help
the start of 2009 for hopefully a recovery in the real estate market.”
And even though the week started off today with some lower standings,
Federal Reserve Chairman Bernake did not rule out bringing rates down
even further.
Now that the election is over, it just seems that
everyone is pulling together to get us out of this mess, and that in
itself is encouraging. And seeing how consumer spending was up 7% over
last year, we all have much to be thankful for.
*************************************************************************** Keeping fit and the environment
Simple Ways To Help The Environment And Keep Yourself Fit.
Why not help the environment, save on gas, generate less greenhouse
gases and burn more calories, particularly with all of the holiday
parties, all at the same time? What a win-win situation. Improving not
only the health of the world, but your health as well. Follow some of
these simple ways to save the environment and also improve your own
fitness:
Walk.
For shorter distances why not walk? Starting up the car and driving it
around the block, to the local shops, or the school, can use a lot of
fuel. Walk the kids to school. Everyone will benefit and you will be
able to listen to your children attentively instead of concentrating on
traffic. Your children will also burn up a few calories as well, which
is no bad thing with the global childhood obesity pandemic.
Ride your bike
..for distances that are too far too walk. Riding is another extremely
environmentally friendly form of transport. You will be amazed at how
much fuel you will save in a week by biking to the office instead of
driving. Riding a bike is an excellent way to burn calories and improve
your aerobic fitness.
Taking the stairs
Your legs and butt will get a real workout, while you in turn are not
using the power needed to drive an elevator or step machine.
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer 15 November 2008
***************************************************************** We've come a long way in fire
prevention.....
We have all witnessed the tragedy and horror of this past weeks’fires.
It is one of the saddest sights I have ever seen. As residents in the
state of California, and in particular in the Santa Monica Mountains,
we can be prey to natural disasters, and certainly the latest fires in
Sepulveda Pass (October 22), the Montecito Fire (near Santa Barbara), the
Sayre Fire, and Triangular fires drive home the point of how important it is
for all of us to pay attention to requirements of the Los Angeles City and
County Fire Departments about brush clearance and protecting your home
against fires. Some of the suggestions I have heard is to be sure to have
copies of all of your valuable documents on your computer rather than just
in a file or safe… sometimes we don’t have the time we get home to get those
files, it was also suggested that we park our cars facing out for a quick
exit. I found with the Sepulveda Pass fire a few weeks ago, that while
I had not put it in writing, I did have a mental list of what I wanted to
pack, and still forgot a few things, but a little advance preparation will
go a long way in those times of emergency.
While it is too early to tell if the latest
fire in Sepulveda Pass had any negative effect on home values in
Mountaingate, Bel Air Crest, or even the hilly areas of Brentwood,
it is important to remember that since the 1961 Brentwood-Bel Air fire
(which destroyed 484 homes), fire prevention and response to these
disasters has vastly improved. The quick, innovative response from the
Los Angeles City Fire Department to Sepulveda Pass fire last month and
again this last week with all of the fires demonstrates how we have been
able to fight fires through prevention and enhanced skills and equipment
of our fire departments.
Still, each of us who live in these beautiful
mountain areas should continue to be vigilant about your OWN fire
prevention programs to protect one of your most valuable possessions --
your home..
I was ready for climate change....
In 1972, Albert Hammond wrote "It Never Rains in Southern California",
reaching #5 on Billboard, but it still resonates to this day. As we all
know, it almost NEVER rains in Southern California and I, for one,
wanted climate change...so I flew up to Vancouver, BC, to spend the
weekend with family. Well, it was glorious -- it rained intermittently
every day -- nothing dreadful, a nice light rain. In the evening in my
sister and brother-in-law’s beautiful home overlooking the Barrard Inlet
which is part of the Pacific Ocean in West Van, it rained heavily every
night. I thought to myself, "...isn't this a nice way to experience
climate change -- when I want it!"
My nephew, Connor, apparently loves the rain,
too -- it was pouring last Tuesday evening, and he bid us a quick
goodbye after dinner, as he is going for a bike ride (he is a fanatic
skier and mountain bike enthusiast). "In the rain?" I asked. "Of
course." I have noticed how little they use umbrellas in that part of
the world!
Spending time with family is always my
special treat, especially during the upcoming holidays. As many of you
know, my niece Morgan enrolled at USC last year, had some challenges
with typical adjustments away from home and family, and is now in her
sophomore year -- a member of USC's varsity sailing team...has a 'beau'
(also on the sailing team), and well, she apparently has adjusted well
to her climate change. I wish it did rain more in Southern California --
we need it. But it’s not to be for awhile.
It's property tax time -- aren't you
thrilled?
Isn't it wonderful to pay your property taxes twice a year? Don't you
just love writing out those big checks to the LA County Tax Assessor?
Recently, I have had calls from several homeowners in the communities I
cover (Beverly Hills, Beverly Hills Post Office, Brentwood, and Bel-Air)
about declining property values and how this condition might affect your
current tax bill. It could.
There are several conditions that would
prompt you to look at your existing property value -- 1) if you
purchased into your home in the past two years; and/or 2) if you have
had major work done on the property (that required an LA City or County
building permit). Either of these events could result in a
re-assessment of your property. With the current downturn in real
estate, many homeowners are frankly concerned about their home values.
And it's an important issue since your home is one of your most
important investments.
The truth is that home values in these four communities have held
pretty steady during the past year....only Beverly Hills Post Office (LA
County area) has the median sales price (re: value) decline
significantly -- 17%. Beverly Hills has remained constant, and
Brentwood and Bel-Air have declined just 2%. But remember -- your
home's value will be based on its own merits and not what the MLS
reports about community median sales prices. These are just averages.
If you are concerned that your property value
has declined enough to warrant a re-assessment, here's what I recommend:
1) I will be glad to give you an appraisal
and market analysis on your home's value -- no obligation; and
If our findings are that we believe you have a 'case' to take
before the Los Angeles County Tax Assessor, then I can advise you
what steps you can take at that point.. If you feel that your
house qualifies for a re adjustment in property taxes, please go to
their site, http://lacountypropertytax.com/portal/default.aspx.
On their site they explain the steps one can take for a re
adjustment.
Give me a call if you have any
questions or concerns....thanks.
Love it or hate
it, we all have to eat – and that usually means grocery shopping. While
you're browsing the aisles and checking items off your list, though,
think about a few ways you can be a “green” grocery shopper and, in
turn, reduce your footprint on the environment.
Avoid individually packaged items. We often have options at the market
to buy items that are “conveniently” packaged in individual units to
make packing lunches and eating-on-the-go easier. Food such as yogurt,
pudding, granola bars, soft drinks, juice, cereal, and snack foods may
come in packages of multiple single-serving sizes in addition to larger,
“bulk” sizes. Even though the individual sizes do seem more convenient,
they also produce more waste with their packaging than the larger sizes.
You can buy the larger sizes and then divide up the food at home in
reusable containers to avoid the excess garbage.
Bring your own bags Instead of allowing the bagger to bag your groceries
in disposable plastic or paper bags, bring your own bags made of cloth,
mesh, or other recycled material to reduce the garbage produced by
grocery bags. Some grocery stores even offer incentives in the form of
discounts to people who bring their own bags.
Avoid as much packaging as you can In the produce aisle, do you really
need to put your bananas, head of lettuce, or bunch of carrots in a
plastic bag? You'll probably end up throwing the bag away anyway, so
bypass the plastic in the produce aisle and wait until you get home
where you can store the food in a whatever container you use.
Buy items in recycled packaging Many items today are packaged in
recycled paper or plastic, which is labeled on the bag or box. Look for
items that are labeled as such, and that have a high percentage of
recycled content in their packaging. Also look for items that are
packaged in recyclable containers – either ones that you can drop off at
a designated point, or ones that you can use yourself at home to reduce
your own garbage.
Also, if you would like to receive the SchifferLine by email and help to
“Keep It Green” just send your email address to ceschiffer@aol.com
One of my faithful readers also told me about
the battery recycling program at the Rite Aid store at Cloverfield and
Pico in Santa Monica. According to her, they have a special
program set up for recycling batteries.. Check it out. And please do not
forget the recycling program at UCLA for any and all electronic items.
The drop off is located at 522 Charles Young Drive, right near Pauley
Pavilion and they are open on Sat from 8:00 – 2:00. And I will
pick up all printer ink cartridges and old discarded cell phones… Just
give me a call and I will swing by and pick them up.. The money goes to
public schools all over the state of California.
If you know of anyone who is interested in
leasing a home in Bel Air Crest, or Mountaingate, please let me know.. I
have some great leases both a terrific prices.
I hope you all have a wonderful Thanksgiving
holiday with your family and friends.
Remember to: COUNT ON CAROLE
FOR ALL OF YOUR REAL ESTATE NEEDS!!!
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
01
November 2008
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
The more things change, the
more they stay the same......
I keep looking for a "sign" --
a good omen -- for our real estate industry....a sales trend line that
moves upward for consecutive months...a burst in my own business....good
economic news on at least a regional level. But as we seem to be
treading the real estate waters, so to speak, we're not sinking, but we
just seem to be bobbing up and down.
Life in our Westside waters are pretty
much the same we've seen all year. We have movement up and down in the
four communities I have tracked for over 20 years -- this last October,
we see that the Median Sales Price for Beverly Hills dropped by 40% vs.
an increase from 1% last month and Bel Air, down 67% in September, 2008,
was up 30% for October 2008. Brentwood was up again over the previous
month --12% for October vs. 33% for September. Beverly Hills Post
Office continued to lag behind -- down 53% in October; the BHPO
community was down 57% also in September (over the previous September
2007).
Sales for Year To Date remain
consistently close to 2007
The real story, however, is in the
Year-to-Date (Y-T-D) sales. Only Beverly Hills Post Office is lagging
behind 2007 Y-T-D sales -- down 17% for this year. But Beverly Hills is
even with same Y-T-D figure for 2007, and Bel-Air and Brentwood are just
off by 2% from the same-period in 2007.
Sales volume for Y-T-D -- which indicates
overall market strength -- is still hovering around 35% (33% last month
Y-T-D). But as Betty Graham, president of the Greater Los Angeles
Coldwell Banker Company stated...."buyers need to know there are home
loans available today....and more important, the company reported it
opened 85% more escrows in September 2008 than in 2007.
Don't get bogged down with all of this....
I don't want you to get bogged down with all these numbers flying at
you -- the key point is that the Westside is consistently strong --
considering the rest of the country is fighting more than 50% drop off
in real estate sales volume -- and that is a key sign (omen) that our
communities continue to attract buyers who recognize the long-time,
inherent values we have in our neighborhoods and area. Homes that are
priced accurately in today's market and are presented well, will sell in
a reasonable time -- less than existing days-on-market averages.
Remember, many sellers are looking in their rear-view mirrors and
remembering the good times -- when home prices were rising and there
were many multiple offers. There still are multiple offers -- but for
homes that are usually priced just below the true, current market value.
And, now, a word of thanks to our LAFD helicopter pilots....
I want to take this opportunity to thank the Los Angeles Fire
Department water-dropping helicopter pilots, under the command of Glenn
Smith....who directed nine helicopters who dropped water on the
Sepulveda Pass fire two weeks ago during a dangerous night-time assault.
Their valiant efforts saved many homes in the Mountaingate area -- so
thank you from all of us. It was amazing to watch them “bob & weave” as
they made their drops.
Steps to Insure You Get Fire
Insurance
In recent Los Angeles Times article, there were some excellent
recommendations on how you can 'insure' you can keep or obtain the
necessary fire insurance you will need for your home. These are
volatile times -- the most dangerous times of the year are right
now....so here are a few steps you can take:
First, make your property fire-safe. That
first step may determine whether you get a policy and how much you'll
pay for it. Clear 300 feet of combustible brush or chaparral
surrounding the house (the state requires 100 feet). You can so
far as to install roof sprinklers and enclose the eaves. Make sure your
landscaping does not include combustible plants like juniper or lavender
near the house. What saved many of the Mountaingate homes was the brush
clearance that was done by the HOA prior to the fire.
Next, search for an appropriate insurance
company. Using either a broker or an agent, find out the various firms'
underwriting policies and prices. You might have to deal with companies
that are unfamiliar to you, as some well-known firms have slowed or
stopped their fire insurance business in the region. Allstate Corp., for
example, stopped selling new homeowner policies in California last year.
State Farm Insurance Cos. has become selective about where it offers
insurance. Homeowners in high-risk zones unable to get policies from
large national carriers may qualify for a so-called surplus line from
companies that are not overseen by the state. Those policies typically
are arranged through insurance brokers. Some companies may require
additional fire prevention work -- beyond the usual safety measures
A last resort....Sometimes it's impossible to
get insurance from any company according to the Los Angeles Times
article. And if that's the case, you can purchase a policy under
the California Fair Plan, a government- and insurance-industry-sponsored
alternative that offers property insurance to those deemed too risky by
other companies. The plan covers the structure and its contents,
but it can be expensive; experts say the surcharge can run as much as
150% higher than regular coverage if 200-foot brush-clearance and other
requirements aren't met. The average policy costs about $800 per year,
said Fair Plan spokesman Mike Harris. About 2,400 of the state's current
19,000 Fair Plan brush-wildfire policyholders are paying surcharges.
The bare-bones plan does not provide theft, liability and other
protection, so experts recommend that you buy an additional "wraparound"
policy from an insurance company to fill in the gaps in the coverage.
The cost varies by company.
So, if your fire insurance is not up to date
-- please make sure you double check with your agent and get your home
covered....never know when another fire emergency occurs like it did two
weeks ago. Thanks.
No Green tip this time.. no room –
Sorry about that!
We have reduced the price of a few of my
listings, 2371 Stratford Circle in Bel Air Crest is now $5,170,000 and
my lease listing in Mountaingate is now $8000 and I have a new lease
listing also in Bel Air Crest at 11814 Gwynne Lane. So if you are
interested in any of these properties or know someone who might be,
please get in touch with me.
Remember to: COUNT ON CAROLE FOR ALL OF YOUR
REAL ESTATE NEEDS!!!
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
23 October 2008
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hot off the presses....fire comes too close for comfort
As I am writing this, helicopters are flying overhead pouring water over
the embers still smoldering on the hillsides in Sepulveda Pass. While it
appears as of this writing that we're out of the woods on last night's
fire....to be honest, it scared the hell out of me.
Like many of my neighbors in Bel Air Crest
-- we had a front-row seat to the fires crawling up the canyons in and
around Mountaingate. I knew many of my friends and clients were in danger of
losing their homes and at 1:30 in the morning, I spoke with several to make
sure they had gotten the word about the fire. Some, like myself, were in the
process of packing and waiting for the evacuation order and trying to figure
out where to go...some were able to leave and stay at local hotels.
No matter how used we get to
reading about and seeing television news about fires in Southern California,
it is not the same as actually looking out your bedroom window and seeing
flames leaping up nearby steep mountain slopes, only steps away from your
own home. After packing up my valuables and waiting to evacuate, I drove
down to Sepulveda at the entrance to Bel Air Crest -- an eerie site at 2:30
in the morning. Fire trucks....firemen waiting to be placed into
action.....and my fellow residents gathered to see what was going on.
Channel 5 (KTLA) news was already on the scene, and they interviewed
me...imagine waking up and seeing yourself on TV with no make-up....I
did! And got scared, again!
What do we learn from all of this?
Fire prevention is critical to all of us living in the mountains above
Los Angeles -- it comes with this beautiful territory. On
August 28, I sent out an important notice from the Los Angeles Fire
Department -- who has done an outstanding job in keeping this blaze to a
minimum. The lesson: Be vigilant about your own fire
prevention around your home.
Please read --
and most importantly, take care of
yourself:
It's Fire Prevention
Awareness Time.... (appearing August 28,
2008)
On the morning of
November 6, 1961, fire swept across our
hillsides....from Stone Canyon to
Mandeville Canyon....consuming nearly
6,094 acres, destroying 484 homes. The
Bel-Air/Brentwood fire was one of the
worst in Los Angeles’s history according
to the LA Fire Department. Since this
landmark disaster, the City of Los
Angeles and residents have taken steps
to insure this never happens again.
Through new fire regulations, improved
hillside fire trails, fire-resistant
construction and design, and constant
monitoring by the LAFD, we have been
fortunate in not seeing this level of
fire rage across our communities. We are
just entering the most dangerous period
of the year for fires. The LAFD is
vigilant in protecting our homes and
mountains -- but they are encouraging
all homeowners to take some very simple,
life- and home-saving steps so that you
can avoid any disaster by fire. As
reported in the Los Angeles Times, these
are new standards that were imposed for
new construction by State of California
in 2008. While we certainly cannot
rebuild our homes, we might take some
suggestions as to how we might better
protect ourselves.
1) Eaves must be
enclosed and materials must be ignition
resistant;
2) Install dual-pane
windows -- one must be tempered glass;
3) Deck supports must be
enclosed to within six inches of the
ground; must be of ignition-resistant
material;
4) Roof fascia and
sheeting must be fire resistant; and
5) Defensible space must
be free of brush or debris and must
extend 100 feet or to the property line;
6) Purchase some of the
gels that are available to be sprayed on
your home if there is a fire in the
area, and there is approximately one
hour before it would reach your
property. There are a few products on
the market that do this as well as an
insurance company that offers this
service, I personally have Barricade Gel
which can be purchased through their
website…. Barricadegel.com
For your information,
here at Bel-Air Crest our clearance of
the slopes is 200’ rather than the
required 100 feet just to give ourselves
that extra protection. We have also
discovered that the majority of the
fires that happen around here are caused
by cars that roll off the freeway, onto
the brush… so with Cal Trans’
permission, we have installed a concrete
shoulder as a barrier as an extra means
of protection. I encourage all of you to
beware of the fire dangers in our area
and to protect your home.
Remember to: COUNT ON CAROLE FOR ALL OF YOUR
REAL ESTATE NEEDS!!!
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
15 October 2008
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Location, location, location -- it's working
The oldest mantra in real estate is location, location, location. But it
takes on new meaning in today's chaotic economic times. Why is that?
Because, quite frankly, the location of where we live is the best insurance
policy you can have to keep your property value as high as possible. Sure,
there are troubling signs in our midst, and perhaps, some of the only good
news one can find: gas prices are dropping, as low as $3.35/gallon. But when
you realize we live in one of the most desirable locations on the Planet,
one can take comfort in the relative security that our community assets
provide -- making the Westside the envy of the world.
Even though overall sales volumes are down
from 2007, in various areas they are improving slightly each month (read
below)....and median sales prices continue to fluctuate from month to
month in each of the four communities I report to you about....but
overall, the prices are generally holding their own over 2008.
Real estate transactions up 85% over 2007 for Greater Los Angeles CB
I want to pass on a few inspirational words of wisdom from our stellar
leader, Betty Graham, who is President of the Greater Los Angeles
Coldwell Banker Company....stated that "...Buyers need to know there are
home loans available today, and with full documentation and an
appropriate down payment, the loans are very attractive. And more
importantly....the Greater Los Angeles Coldwell Banker Company opened
85% more escrows in September 2008 than in September 2007 and we closed
16.9% more escrows in September 2008 than in 2007." That is great news.
Our Westside has
always been its own 'best news' -- we
tend to run counter to negative national
and regional real estate trends -- the
#s prove that out. Our foreclosures are
considerably lower than anywhere else in
the country, and while home sales
volumes have dipped by more than 50% in
many parts of the United States, there
is not a community that I cover that is
close that number.
Let me review the most current reporting month -- September 2008
I have always made it my mission to present you with the monthly
Multiple Listing Service sales information; because it is the only
reliable source of real estate sales we have for our communities of
Beverly Hills, Beverly Hills Post Office, Bel-Air, and Brentwood. The
MLS stats give us the most accurate snapshot of what has gone in these
specific areas for the past month and for year-to-date performance.
We have both
good and bad news for September 2008.
Beverly Hills and Brentwood both showed
median sales price increases for this
September over September 2007 -- Beverly
Hills was up just 1% but Brentwood was
up 33%. There was (temporary) bad news
for Beverly Hills Post Office (down 57%)
and Bel-Air (down 67%). In Bel Air for
example, of the 10 homes closing escrow
in September 2008, the sales prices on
half of the homes were under $1 million,
thus dropping the median average
(compared to previous months where more
higher-priced homes were sold).
On a more positive note, the year-to-date MSP (medium sales price) -- a more
accurate reflection of real estate home values over the past year, we find that
Beverly Hills MSP for the year through September 30 was up 3%, Beverly Hills
Post Office was down 16%, but both Bel-Air and Brentwood are only off 2%
year-to-date.
Sales volumes continue to be improving slightly
for the four communities -- down to 33% over the previous year-to-date
totals (compared to being down 38% for YTD through August 2008). Days on
market is another key indicator and homes are spending more days waiting
for a qualified buyer. Days on market for Beverly Hills increased from
45 to 53 days in September 2008 vs. September 2007; Beverly Hills Post
Office actually went down from 115 days to 89 days for same period;
Bel-Air jumped from 79 days to 164; and Brentwood went from 38 days to
51 days on market for September 2008. But these numbers, as well as MSP,
tend to fluctuate from month to month.
It tells us that our four communities are still suffering from the challenges
found in other markets. We have some areas up, some down -- as it has been case
since we have been doing the SchifferLine. There is a silver lining every month
in our neighborhoods -- we're still here and enjoying the best of many worlds.
But what is encouraging is the increased activity (transactions) in our business
....as Betty Graham has pointed out -- Coldwell Banker Greater Los Angeles
Company is up 85% in transactions over last year -- and that is saying
something. She further pointed out that if your home is priced correctly, there
are qualified buyers out there....a point of view I have had since starting in
this business.
Disposable or dry-cell batteries are usually the
alkaline type. They used to contain very high levels of mercury, but the amounts
used have greatly decreased over the last couple of decades and some brands use
none at all. Still, many do contain a small amount of mercury and given the
massive waste involved should be avoided, or at the very least, recycled. In
2006, 40 billion disposable batteries were sold worldwide! According to the EPA,
Americans purchase nearly 3 billion dry-cell disposable batteries every year.
Unfortunately, it can be difficult finding places
that will actually recycle disposable alkaline batteries. Many recyclers
separate them from rechargeable and they do wind up in landfill anyway.
A service I came across for alkaline (and
rechargeable) battery recycling is Big Green Box, which is just a box you can
dump batteries into and when it's full, send it back to the recycler. You can
purchase a box for your home or office, or utilize one that's in one of the
participating stores mentioned on their site.
Button batteries are a problem as a great deal of
metal is used for their comparatively small size and they can contain mercury,
silver, cadmium, lithium, or other heavy metals as their main component.
Thankfully, due to the increasing price of raw materials, these are a desired
recyclable item.
Rechargeable batteries used to be quite
environmentally toxic beasties, containing cadmium (NiCad batteries). These days
the most commonly sold batteries are Nickel-metal-hydride (NiMH). NiMH batteries
have a better life and performance than Nicads and don't contain as toxic heavy
metals, so they are a "greener" choice.
You can also buy rechargeable alkaline batteries, but
these perform poorly and will cost you more in the long run - and you'll create
more waste. Regardless of the lower environmental toxicity of today's
rechargeable batteries, they should definitely be recycled rather than thrown in
the bin to wind up in landfill.
By the way, my great listing in Bel Air Crest is
still available.. It is a 6 bedroom, 7.5 bath custom home with 5 fireplaces,
including 3 in the master suite, library/office, family room, big rooms with
wonderful high ceilings, pool, spa, and closets a dept store would envy.
Price $5,295,000.
Remember to: COUNT ON CAROLE FOR ALL OF YOUR REAL
ESTATE NEEDS!!!
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
15 September 2008
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Here we go again.....USC Trojan niece, UCLA Bruin Auntie
Where does 'Auntie' start? USC, ranked #1, again, stomps Ohio State, and my
alma mater, UCLA is, well, embarrassed beyond belief. I'm not use to
intra-family rivalries, but when Morgan, my sister's beautiful and talented
daughter opted for USC last year, I was thrilled she was coming down to
Southern California from Vancouver, BC. And it's been a blessing. Morgan,
who is pre-med, is delighted to be back in her dorm with three great room
mates, and college life is still very much in front of her. Oh, sometimes, I
do long for those college days of mine, but attending UCLA Extension classes
always keeps me 'close to home.' Hopefully my Bruins will have a better rest
of the season then last Saturday proved to be!
According to Wikkipedia…."A short sale is when a bank or mortgage lender
agrees to discount a loan balance due to an economic or financial
hardship on the part of the mortgagor." For example:
* A house is listed for $1 million; the loan
is for $1.3 million; and the property is worth $900,000. What does one
do? As the seller, there is a $400,000 spread between the current value
($900,000) and what is owed ($1.3 million)
. * Buyer offers $900,000 -- seller accepts
that subject to approval of the bank.
* The bank, then, has to approve the sale of
the property for an agreed-upon price, say $900,000. The bank, for
example, can forgive all or a portion of the unpaid balance, $400,000.
Many times there is a second trust deed involved as well.
* The percentage of “write off” by the holder
of both liens is greatly determined by a number of things, but in
general, the holder of the second does not fair as well as the holder of
the first trust deed as they are the that is really “calling the shots”.
* There is no set standard as to what the
banks will do for this type of transaction -- and it will depend on the
seller's financial condition; bank's portfolio and financial position;
the philosophy of the bank (some are more aggressive than others these
days); what the comparables are for the area -- is there a chance the
bank would do better by foreclosing on the property and selling it
themselves, and/or does the seller have some cash to assist in making up
some of the difference?
To get more information for you, I recently
interviewed Holly Hanks, the Office Manager and Escrow Officer for West
Coast Escrow, which is located in my Coldwell Banker office in Brentwood
Court.
* According to Holly, she has handled 10
short sale transactions this year; has three currently and there were
three this year that did not close escrow for a variety of reasons. Last
year she had one short sale transaction in her office
. * While all of the properties are located
in the City of Los Angeles, none of them have been in West Los Angeles.
She stated that these short sales offer many financial benefits to both
buyer and seller, "...but it can be a long process, from 30 to 90 days
or longer. Everyone has to be patient in this process."
* These can be complicated transactions that
can possibly have a number of negative consequences for the seller
including tax consequences, and credit. Only about 15% of our (Coldwell
Banker Greater Los Angeles’s Company) short sale transactions actually
close escrow, that is how difficult they are to get through. It is also
advised when you enter one of these transactions, particularly as the
seller that you refer to professional counsel of either your accountant
or attorney or both.
One of the key points Holly made was that it
is important that the seller and the seller's agent have all of the
negotiations worked out with the lender even before they put the
property on the market. "That makes for a much smoother transaction,"
Holly stated. "Having a good agent who understands all of these short
sale issues is critical."
It is not generally possible to have all of
the terms agreed to before putting the property on the market, as the
lender usually waits for a agreed upon price between a buyer and seller
before they will agree to do a short sale, let alone the price that has
been agreed to between the buyer and seller. All the more reason to work
with an experienced agent who knows how to assist and guide you through
“these rocky waters”. But remember, one needs to be long on patience and
understanding to get through this process.
In a further commitment to understand how we can help ourselves and our fragile
planet, I have enrolled in a unique program -- EcoBroker Certification program.
My goal is to offer professional expertise and knowledge to help all my clients
have healthier, more comfortable and more cost-effective home ownership
opportunities. Within the real estate industry, we are seeing more and more
programs and products designed to help our environment. I look forward to
keeping you all abreast of this comprehensive eco-friendly program.
Not ready to eat just yet? Instead of having the stove
top going to keep it warm, wrap the pot up in a towel - this will help
insulate it for quite a while.
2.
Splurge on pots and pans
Resist buying cheap pots and pans - they'll cost you more in
the long run. A good sturdy, thick walled set will last you a lifetime and while
they take a little longer to heat up, the heat distribution is better and
they'll also store heat for longer. Glass and ceramic pots and pans are said to
be the most efficient.
2.
Splurge on pots and pans
Resist buying cheap pots and pans - they'll cost you more in
the long run. A good sturdy, thick walled set will last you a lifetime and while
they take a little longer to heat up, the heat distribution is better and
they'll also store heat for longer. Glass and ceramic pots and pans are said to
be the most efficient.
3.
The right pan for the job
If you can see the heating element or the gas flame is
licking a little on the side of the pot or pan, it's too small and much of the
heat is being wasted.
4. Keep
the door closed
How's your oven door glass looking? It's worth spending the
time to keep it clean so you can see in rather than opening the door to check on
the food.
5.
Drop the pilot
Older gas ovens may have a pilot light that burns 24/7. While
it's a small flame, over the period of a day, it uses a lot of gas. Consider
switching it off (properly with the help of the gas company).
6.
Water, water everywhere
Only use as much water as you need in a pot. Every extra drop
requires more energy to heat and will increase the cooking time.
Observing some or all of the points above won't single
handedly save the environment, but when millions of us take these small steps in
conserving energy, it certainly adds up!
I have a great new listing in Bel Air Crest. It is a
6 bedroom, 7.5 bath custom home with 5 fireplaces, including 3 in the master
suite, library/office, family room, big rooms with wonderful high ceilings,
pool, spa, and closets a dept store would envy. Price $5,295,000.
Remember to: COUNT ON CAROLE
FOR ALL OF YOUR REAL ESTATE NEEDS!!!
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
1 September 2008
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Looking for the silver lining....where art thou?
Amongst the dark clouds hovering over the nation's real estate market, one
must always maintain an honest, but positive point of view of what lies
ahead....by looking in the rear-view mirror. Our monthly Multiple Listing
Service statistics, issued the first of each month, reflect a snapshot of
what has been going on in the four communities I specialize in -- Beverly
Hills, Beverly Hills Post Office, Bel-Air, and Brentwood. I look at several
factors which indicate 'strength of the market' -- median sales prices,
sales volumes, and days on market (DOM).
Over the course of the past several years,
Beverly Hills has consistently performed well in all categories. For
example, median sales prices for January thru August, 2008 (YTD),
Beverly Hills is 7% higher than in same period in 2007. Bel-Air is up by
6% for same period. Beverly Hills Post Office is down 15% and Brentwood
is down a modest 6%. But these communities often fluctuate -- some are
positive, some are down each month.
When we look at sales price, this past month
(August 2008) was not a good month (vs. August 2007) -- Beverly Hills'
median sales price was down 41%, Beverly Hills Post Office was down 28%,
Bel-Air was down 31%, but Brentwood was up 9%. And here is another twist
on the MLS #s -- Beverly Hills Post Office was up 11% over July 2008 #s,
while the other three communities were all down compared to July 2008.
In doing a little research, there was one sale in August ’07 in Bel Air
of $16,000,000 – so that obviously skews the percentage some… So, go
figure.
Another key indicator is the sales volume for
these communities -- comparing 2008 YTD total sales vs. 2007 -- these
four areas are off by 32% -- which is a bit of an improvement since
total sales for this year were down as much as 51% over 2007. Between
the price of $1,000,000 - $40,000,000 in August there were 14 sales in
Beverly Hills vs. 10 in ’08, 12 in Beverly Hills Post Office vs. 4, 19
in Bel Air vs. 4, and 13 in Brentwood vs. 4. Days on Market -- an
average that tracks how long sold homes have stayed on the market before
closing escrow -- were average for Beverly Hills and Bel-Air -- in the
60-70 day range, but Beverly Hills Post Office jumped from an average of
143 days in 2007 for August 2007 to 224 DOM for same period in August
2008. Bel-Air went from 56 DOM in 2007 to 142 in August 2008.
Two out of four areas are up over last year for median sales price YTD
(Beverly Hills and Bel Air)....Brentwood is up for August 2008 (vs.
August 2007), and Beverly Hills Post Office is up over the previous
month....so there is a silver lining on each area's cloud -- and so perk
up, folks, we're still doing amazingly well in spite of a soft market.
Could we do better? Absolutely, and I'm doing every thing I can to
improve our market and move property for my clients.
Taking a step back -- putting the numbers in perspective
When you combine all
four communities total real estate sales are off by
a large margin (32% over 2007 for the year) no
matter how you slice the statistical pie. First
Republic Bank issues their quarterly Prestige Home
Index which is based on a portfolio representing a
cross-section of homes valued at $1 million or more
(based on a baseline in 1995). For each home in the
portfolio, values of properties were traced back to
1985 using a regression analysis and then calculated
for each year as well as for the two quarters of
2008. For each home, a market evaluation was
performed for each time period taking into account
repeat sales, comparable sales, and characteristics
such as size of house. The Index for the 2nd quarter
of 2008 show that Prestige Home Index was
$2,375,119, off 3.8% from its highest point of just
one year prior -- June 2007 -- of $2,468,357. Common
featur
In comparing the
sales volume from July ’07 to July 08 in
my Coldwell Banker Brentwood Court
office -- volumes are down by just 12%.
My observation is that if a home seller wants the asking price....the home
must be in perfect condition, otherwise buyers are likely to either submit
low-ball offers or walk away. Maximizing your home potential's value in
today's market requires a skilled agent wise in today's market conditions.
Knowing how to properly position a home for sale in a challenging market is
something I've been doing for the past two-plus years. And I continue to
thrive in this market....so if you need a no-obligation review of your
home's potential, please give me a call.
Over the 20-plus years that I have in the real estate industry, I have had the
privilege of serving clients throughout California This is a very broad
collection of wonderful neighborhoods, from the glitz and glamour of Beverly
Hills to the relaxed, out-of-the-way Malibu seaside community. From the quaint
areas of Mar Vista and Culver City to the waterways of Marina del Rey and the
canals of Venice. From Orange County to San Diego. I have served the Santa
Monica and the Pacific Palisades communities for as many years as I have been
selling real estate as well. So, if you are in need of real estate advice
anywhere in the West Los Angeles region -- or beyond -- from someone who has
spent 'decades' here -- then I am here to serve your needs.
We do use a heck of a lot of energy when cooking - think
about how long it takes to bring a pot of water to boil on the stove - turned up
full blast, it's chewing around 2400 watts per hour. While there may not be
noxious fumes pouring out of your kitchen, they are produced elsewhere; for
example, where your electricity is generated. Coal fired electricity generation
is a major contributor to carbon dioxide emissions; the main culprit causing
climate change. There are some ways to work around the inefficient appliances in
our kitchens; here's a few tips
1. Cover
up
Where possible, cover up your pots and pans. This will help
your food to cook more quickly and generates a higher temperature allowing you
to turn down the stove.
2.
Taking the heat off
Instead of turning off the stove when the food is done,
experiment a little with switching it off just before the food is cooked. An
electric fry pan can be switched off a minute or two earlier, and oven up to 10
- 20 minutes depending on how well it's insulated and sealed. It may not sound
like a huge saving, but particularly with electric stoves, the dollars will add
up.
3. In the raw
Experiment a little more with raw foods. You'll not only
save electricity and gas, but nutrients which cooking destroys.
4. Be prepared
Always ensure your ingredients are prepared as much as
possible for turning on the heat.
Remember to: COUNT ON CAROLE
FOR ALL OF YOUR REAL ESTATE NEEDS!!!
Timely
real estate news from Carole Schiffer
15 August 2008
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Summer Olympics Drown Summer Doldrums
I can tell you that watching the 2008 Olympics in Beijing reminds me of
my wonderful trip there last year when I spent three weeks traveling
throughout the country. Such a fascinating country -- the people are so
warm and hospitable...the landscape so spectacular and different from
here....but it is the pageantry of the Olympics, athleticism, and beauty
that draw me to the Olympic telecasts. What continues to impress me are
the stories of the individual athletes -- from all over the world – who
have overcome adversity and challenges to reach for the golden rings of
the Olympics.
The amazing “side” story, of course, is that
much of China is also on display. We see many people from all over the
world coming here to buy property on our Westside, but I wanted to see
how the Chinese real estate market is doing. What I discovered was
another spectacle of out-of-this-world market of Olympic proportions.
According to Realty Times (April 2008)..."it is estimated that China's
residential building boom accounts for more than 100 billion square feet
per year. The boom began happening some time ago, as evidenced by an
article having appeared in a 2007 Wall Street Journal edition that
claimed that China's 20-somethings are finding it possible to purchase
their own homes. It is estimated that homeownership rates are as high as
80 percent in the cities, topping U.S. numbers." Those are, indeed,
amazing statistics. When I was there, we saw a number of developments of
housing tracts similar to that which we have here, which in fact are
being designed and built by Americans, from Orange County in fact. These
homes are in many ways replicas of what we have here, large rooms, and
all of the modern conveniences… We saw this in the outskirts of both
Beijing and Shanghai. They are selling very well and quickly.
In Time magazine's online edition
(8/16/2008), Time's Shanghai reporter told of the challenges of finding
decent rental housing are Herculean -- prices are never static -- they
even go up after you have a signed lease. Landlords and owners are
aggressive and not bashful in telling you that what they quoted is no
longer valid. China's economy and real estate market are on steroids,
something that wouldn't be allowed in the Olympics.
Foreclosures come and go....Westside still relatively calm
Foreclosures nationwide are up 55% (LA Times,
8/15/08) but again, the Westside is swimming up a
different stream. Yes, the Westside is not immune to
foreclosures, but data for January-June ‘08 show
that foreclosures are actually down 22%, from 2007
and there were not that many. In 2008 (through June
30), there were 18 foreclosures (single family
residences and condos) in the four markets I
specialize in -- Brentwood, Beverly Hills, Beverly
Hills Post Office and Bel-Air. Last year at this
time, there were 22 foreclosures. A total of 133
owners received default notices this year, but 108
of these were “cured” either re-financed, sold, or
payments caught up to date. The number for 2007 was
130 default notices. Once again, we're in our own
little world -- a micro-climate that continues to
buck national trends.
On the morning of November 6, 1961, fire swept across our
hillsides....from Stone Canyon to Mandeville Canyon....consuming nearly
6,094 acres, destroying 484 homes. The Bel-Air/Brentwood fire was one of
the worst in Los Angeles’s history according to the LA Fire Department.
Since this landmark disaster, the City of Los Angeles and residents have
taken steps to insure this never happens again. Through new fire
regulations, improved hillside fire trails, fire-resistant construction
and design, and constant monitoring by the LAFD, we have been fortunate
in not seeing this level of fire rage across our communities. We are
just entering the most dangerous period of the year for fires. The LAFD
is vigilant in protecting our homes and mountains -- but they are
encouraging all homeowners to take some very simple, life- and
home-saving steps so that you can avoid any disaster by fire. As
reported in the Los Angeles Times, these are new standards that were
imposed for new construction by State of California in 2008. While we
certainly cannot rebuild our homes, we might take some suggestions as to
how we might better protect ourselves.
1) Eaves must be
enclosed and materials must be ignition
resistant;
2) Install
dual-pane windows -- one must be
tempered glass;
3) Deck supports
must be enclosed to within six inches of
the ground; must be of
ignition-resistant material;
4) Roof fascia
and sheeting must be fire resistant; and
5) Defensible
space must be free of brush or debris
and must extend 100 feet or to the
property line;
6) Purchase some
of the gels that are available to be
sprayed on your home if there is a fire
in the area, and there is approximately
one hour before it would reach your
property. There are a few products on
the market that do this as well as an
insurance company that offers this
service, I personally have Barricade Gel
which can be purchased through their
website…. Barricadegel.com
For your
information, here at Bel-Air Crest our
clearance of the slopes is 200’ rather
than the required 100 feet just to give
ourselves that extra protection. We have
also discovered that the majority of the
fires that happen around here are caused
by cars that roll off the freeway, onto
the brush… so with Cal Trans’
permission, we have installed a concrete
shoulder as a barrier as an extra means
of protection. I encourage all of you to
beware of the fire dangers in our area
and to protect your home.
Although today's generation has been equipped with the
education and the ability to reduce landfill, we are still producing more
landfill than necessary. Such landfill sites become danger zones, and not only
for the generations ahead they also emit 10% of the poisonous gases that
contribute to the greenhouse effect. They cause land instability, soil and
groundwater contamination, odors, and fire hazards. In order to reduce the
amount of waste that is left for landfills, more re-use and recycling of waste
products is imperative.
An easy way to reduce household waste by 30% is a kitchen
composter. The Max Air kitchen composter bin is a biodegradable bag that
prevents the growth of fruit flies. All scraps can be thrown in this bin liner,
and when full it can be added to your garden compost bin, where it will then
begin to break down. An easy and simple way to start making a difference, and
even your children can actively help. Fresh, clean fertilizer for your garden;
less waste for landfill; clearer conscience: all for under fifteen dollars..
Thank you as always for all of your wonderful
comments and thoughts about the Schiffer Line.. A great deal of thought goes
into it, and the feedback is greatly appreciated. Please don’t forget, if you
have any real estate needs that I can help you with please don’t forget to COUNT
ON CAROLE
By the way, I have a few properties that are not
listed for sale both in Bel Air Crest and Mountaingate. Their prices range from
$1,900,000 - $6,500,000. If you have any interest, please let me know.
Remember to: COUNT ON CAROLE FOR ALL OF YOUR
REAL ESTATE NEEDS!!!
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
1 August 2008
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
No recession now...but it depends on where you sit. Real estate is
feeling 'pinch'.....
Doom and gloom has yet to hit some parts of Los Angeles, and for others
it has hit. It appears that UCLA Anderson School's prediction that we
are not going to fall into a recession this year (so far) was bolstered
by the news that the economy grew a modest 1.9% in the second quarter of
2008. But if you're in the real estate industry, you might think
differently -- but again, it depends on where you sit.
Beverly Hills real estate continues to show
its strength in 2008 with median sales prices since January growing at
13% as of July 31, and prices climbed 23% in July compared to a year
ago.
Bel-Air, which suffered much of 2007,
rebounded with an 11% growth in MSP since the first of the year, and a
19% growth for July 2008 vs. July 2007. Taking hits were Beverly Hills
Post Office and Brentwood who are both lagging behind -- .showing a 15%
and 8% decline respectively in MSP from the start of 2008 through July
31..
We also look at # of homes sold to give us a
better indication of market activity and
strength. Again Beverly Hills leads in the
four areas I focus on, with 25% more homes
sold in 2008 vs. 2007 for the month of July.
Bel-Air was marginally even for the same
period. However, Beverly Hills Post Office
and Brentwood home sales were significantly
down -- 50% and 37% respectively.
Sales volumes in
all four areas continue to show
anomalies -- large sales in each of
these areas skew monthly and
year-to-date statistics. But as I have
written before, there is strength in the
$5 million-plus price range. And foreign
buyers continue to have a strong
presence in the market, taking advantage
of the weak US dollar. I am currently
representing a number of buyers who are
seeking homes in this price range.
Also don’t
forget that these numbers which come
from the multiple listing service
reflect transactions that most were
begun 45 – 60 days ago. I can tell you
that open houses are still active, there
are still multiple offers if the
property is priced properly, and there
are still people who want to buy real
estate in West Los Angeles.
While it's been
a challenging year, my business has
really accelerated since the start of
summer, and I attribute it to quality
listings, a growing, active market, and
the continued strength of West Los
Angeles -- in terms of our area assets
and location, does it get any better
than this? I don't think so.
And now a word about shake, rattle and roll....time to check things out
Where were you at 11:42 a.m., Tuesday, July 29? If you were
like most of us, you were shaking, rattling, and rolling
with LA's areas first significant earthquake in many years.
No, this wasn't as bad as the Northridge quake in January
17, 1994, but it made the news across the US. And while many
experts have downplayed this last earthquake's capacity for
doing major damage, the Los Angeles Times did offer some
handy tips on how to better prepare yourself and your home
for the "big one", which is predicted as a "sure thing" in
the future. Here is what the Times recommended:
Walls- -- make sure
heavy mirrors, picture frames and
bookcases are anchored to studs;
Chimney -- nail plywood around
the base of the chimney in the attic to
protect the ceiling from falling bricks;
Hanging plants, plants --
anchor any hanging objects to wood
beams;
Wall units -- two things: 1)
use L-shaped braces attached to studs to
support any wall unit and 2) install
small rails on the front to prevent
objects from flying off the shelf;
Gas appliances --if you have rigid gas-line piping, consider
replacing with approved, corrugated connectors which are not likely to
break
Kitchen, dining room - -- several things you should do: 1)
install latches to your cupboard doors (like child proof locks); 2)
apply small pieces of adhesives to collectibles; and 3) strap water
heater, and any other large appliances to studs;
Gas leak primer - --
1) know where your gas meter is located; 2) know where your gas shut-off
value is located and that you can reach it; 3) have an adjustable wrench
(or mechanism) to shut off the valve.
Other handy hints I would pass
on: Cell phones - -- 1) know where your gas meter is located;
2) know where your gas shut-off value is located and that you can reach
it; 3) have an adjustable wrench (or mechanism) to shut off the
valve.many cellular stations were knocked out in our last earthquake --
consider having more than one carrier for the family; if one carrier is
down, the other may be up and working; Gasoline --
always keep your gas tank as full as possible, and never let it get
below a 1/2 of a tank; Spare water/radio/earthquake kit
--be prepared with earthquake supplies (water, battery-operated radio,
and other medical/emergency equipment) stored in your car and in your
garage or easily accessible closet. One can never be over-prepared for
an earthquake or any disaster....
For your next computer, consider a notebook instead
of desktop - these use under 50% the electricity of a desktop machine -
- If you can afford it, buy extended warranty with
your new system so there's less likelihood of you needing to junk the computer
within the first few years if an expensive repair is needed.
- Do you really need a 22 inch screen? When
considering your next screen purchase, balance your wants with your actual
needs.
- Before purchasing a new computer, consider
upgrading the hardware in your current machine. Some extra RAM (memory) or a new
hard drive may be all you need to restore life to your current system. According
to this site, the energy needed to churn out a new computer is enough to power a
system for a decade!
- Following on from the above point; it's not
uncommon for Windows to get slower as time goes on. This isn't necessarily your
machine, but software bloat. All the updates, installing and uninstalling of
software, applications running in the background that you don't really need take
their toll and basically clog your machine up; seriously impacting on
performance, which in turn is more wear and tear on hardware and increase
electricity consumption. Consider doing a reinstallation of Windows and your
software. A lean machine will sip less electricity and perform much better
. - Consider a refurbished computer for your next
purchase. These aren't dusty old machines that have just been wiped over; often
they are display models or recent purchase returns with very little wear and
tear that is thoroughly checked before sale, and often has the same guarantee
that new units do. You can save a ton of cash this way!
Know anyone that wants to lease a really
snazzy home in Mountaingate??? Check out my listing at 12540 Promontory for
$9,000 a month. It is 4 bedrooms, 3/5 baths, pool, spa and city view. You can
see the photos on my web site…. Caroleschiffer.com
Remember to: COUNT ON CAROLE FOR ALL OF YOUR
REAL ESTATE NEEDS!!!
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
15 July 2008
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The Russians Are Coming...and the Chinese, Mexicans, Norwegians, and
Koreans
Where is Jonathan Winters when we need him? OK, perhaps you don't remember the
classic comedy -- The Russians Are Coming, The Russians Are Coming (1966), but
this Cold War spoof made fun of the Russians invading America. Well, 42 years
later, it feels like that sometimes. But let's not forget the Koreans, Japanese,
Chinese, Mexican, and Norwegians (how did they sneak in there?).
It's not hard to figure out, is it? I mean
-- look at our dollar? Look at the yen, the Euro, the pound -- and
you'll American real estate bargains written all over these
currencies. They are coming in droves -- with cash offers to buy
whatever they can. It will not last forever (we hope so), but for
now the preponderance of buyers out there today are foreign and for
the time being are very active in the real estate buying market on
the Westside.
I have a fabulous listing ($11,895,000
million) in Bel Air Crest -- and the majority of the appointments
are with foreign buyers who have the cash and the interest to buy
quality properties on the Westside -- from Beverly Hills to the
Pacific. They want quality and can find it. "You have the best
neighborhoods, best cities, and best infrastructure of any place in
the world today," one buyer told me. "It is the place to own a
home!" he said. So what does this mean in terms of getting our
transactions closed in dealing with foreign buyers? I have found
that a number of these potential buyers have banking relationships
here in this country, so that makes a little easier for them to have
access to their funds. Even if all of their banking relationships
are only outside our fair shores, it generally takes a little longer
to get verification of funds and to have the funds wired to escrow
close. The only times it really takes a much longer time is if they
do not have any credit here in this country.
How does this affect the marketing of your
property? It is important to understand that differences in the
cultures that are being represented in looking at your home today.
This is another reason for working with an experienced agent (me)
who understands some of these cultures and the mores and how to work
with them. If you have a quality property in a good location -- it
will sell, if priced right. Price continues to drive this market --
but is this unusual? Not in the least! Price is always the key
factor in moving real estate. There is an old marketing adage: "If
you have a line, your price is too low. If you don't have a line,
your price is too high." This point is especially true when you
price your home. Cash-rich foreign buyers are not fools, and they
want bargains -- true; but they also are astute enough to know
quality when they see it, and are willing to pay for it.
So the good news? Not only are the Russians
coming -- but every other global player who wants to live in one of
the great places on the Planet. What this trend tells us something
we already know: We have a great community.
It doesn't take a brain surgeon to figure out how to quickly and relatively
expensively improve your home to maximize its value. Here are 12 simple things
you can do to enhance your property and maximize the price in today's market:
1. Get the right mind set. Once you
list your home detach yourself from it. Treat the house as a
commodity, which means making changes that will broaden its
appeal but that may erase some of your personal style.
2. Start at the curb. Look at what
people will see when they pull up to the property. Trim
hedges, prune trees, mow the lawn and plant oodles of color
flowers.
3. Paint – Its money in a can.
4. Focus on the entry. Put some
energy into the front door... It makes a strong first
impression.
5. Catch up on maintenance. Fix the
little stuff like the cracked tile in the bathroom, torn
screens, replace broken light switch covers and burned out
light bulbs.
6. Look for alternatives to
expensive or messy upgrades. Keep improvements small and
manageable. A major project can take up the valuable time
you could be on the market. Timing can be everything.
7. Consider new appliances. Many
times new appliances can make a kitchen appear to be new.
8. Add some house bling. Change an
older dining room fixture that looks tired, same with
curtain rods. New shiny front door handles and faucets make
everything around them look fresh and new.
9. Start packing. Get rid of the
“stuff”. We all have a lot more stuff in our room than we
need and it makes any house, even the biggest ones look
crowded and cluttered.
10. Remove the “you” factor. Many
times buyers get distracted in looking at personal family
photos of the sellers.
11. Clean the house from top to
bottom. Look at your house with a new eye.
12. Banish smells. Try to avoid
cooking odors when you know the house is being shown, fish
is particularly offensive at times. An old, but good trick
is to bake some cookies... Nothing spells home like the
fragrance of home baked bread or cookies.
Lightening your computing environmental
footprint– Part 1
Computing has changed the world – a great
example is the Internet. It’s hard to imagine either not existing.
While computer usage can actually lessen our
environmental footprint, for example, being able to work from home or
control of farm irrigation and many other tasks, the energy consumption
involved with casual computing and gaming generally is massive.
There’s not just the usual computer usage
related electricity consumption, there’s also all the millions of tons
of plastic and metal used to create the billions of computers in their
various forms now on this planet.
We can do our bit in lessening our impact and
the following are tips for more earth friendly computing, some of which
will also save you cash!
- When not in use for extended periods, switch
your computer of at the wall to avoid phantom power load consumption.
- Have your power saving management options
enabled and properly configured for period when your computer is
temporarily not in use. In Windows, this can be found in
Settings/Control Panel/Options.
- During usage, have your screen as bright as
you need it– unnecessarily bright screen really chew the juice.
-If you’re going to use a screen saver, use a bland
(black) screen – animated screen saver just consume electricity
unnecessarily.
- When buying components and peripheral items,
try to choose those that come in the least amount of plastic packaging
as possible
I also want to thank my fellow Bel Air Crest neighbors for re-electing me to the
Board of Directors for the Homeowners Association. I very much appreciate your
support.
Remember toCOUNT ON
CAROLE FOR ALL OF YOUR REAL ESTATE NEEDS!!!
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
16 June 2008
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Dear Friends....
Is that a silver lining we see? Could there be good news for the Real
Estate Market on the Horizon?
Good news sometimes comes in small packages. Like in baseball, tracking real
estate trends has become an industry, and the slightest of movements in the
marketplace get scrutinized. Sales for the Brentwood Court office in May (where
I work) showed another strong month, succeeding May 2007 by nearly 13% in sales
volume. June is expected to be another strong month. And our office was in the
top 20% of all Coldwell Banker offices across the US. This really speaks well to
the strength of our market and office.
Speaking at our sales meeting last week ,
Betty Graham, President of the Greater Los Angeles Company in Los
Angeles, noted that we may be near the end of the current down cycle for
the market. "The typical down cycle lasts 36 months, and based on when
we started this downward trend (early 2006); we're now in our 30th
month." She pointed out that on the Westside, we are usually the last
in, first out....and we are now beginning to see a stronger market
already for mid-2008.
And with our relatively weak US dollar, we
are also seeing a lot of foreign buyers who are taking advantage of the
strength of their money.
While volumes are still down (as much as 50%
in some areas), I don't want to minimize the market's weakened
condition, but you can definitely feel the upswing in the energy.
One of the key
indicators that I have used as a
barometer for market strength are the
number of people attending open houses,
and the business that can be generated
from them. Across the board in the
Westside area, we are now seeing more
open houses and multiple offers are on
the increase. The general observation I
am making and it has been confirmed by a
number of people is that the buyers are
out there and interested, but they are
also holding on to their money a little
longer, so it becomes necessary for us
(agents and clients) to create
compelling situations for them to “shake
that money loose”. The trick is to
create that compelling reason… and that
is where being a and working with a
professional real estate agent comes
into play.
One of the
marketing strategies that is being used
to generate offers is the pricing of
properties just slightly under their
market value. The rational for this is
to hopefully generate multiple offers
and drive up the price over what the
price might have been otherwise. This is
a 'gutsy' move -- sometimes – as a
seller in my opinion has to be prepared
to” live by the sword and to die by the
sword”- in that buyers may not respond
to this strategy. Depending on the
client's situation, I have from time to
time suggested this marketing strategy
for a Seller’s property. So does this
strategy work?.. depends.. Here is an
example. Every day I run what is called
a hot sheet from the MLS which gives me
a quick snapshot on what is happening in
a number of areas, Beverly Hills,
Beverly Hills Post Office, Brentwood,
Bel Air, Mar Vista, Santa Monica,
Beverlywood, Westwood, Venice, West Los
Angeles, Rancho Park Cheviot, and
Pacific Palisades. Last week, I noted
for two days running that of the
approximately Fifteen (15) closed
escrows of single family homes in these
areas, there were (8) eight that had
sold in a very short period of time all
over asking price. This is generally an
indication that there were multiple
offers.
But, again,
selecting the right marketing strategy
is a function of knowing the market, the
neighborhood, and how your property is
situated in the selling environment.
Should you hire a power broker? Take a guess.........
Stop for a minute and consider this statistic:
95% of the sales are completed by 5% of the brokers. As legendary New
York real estate guru Barbara Cortland remarked on the Today Show last
week, why would you "not" hire a power broker, especially in these
times. I've never seen myself as a power broker, but as one of the top
agents (in the top 5% for over 20 years) in the Brentwood Coldwell
Banker office, I would agree with Barbara -- why not hire me? You can
count on my skills and experience bringing success to your transaction
Cell phones -- have your Bluetooth installed by July 1
OK, time to stop procrastinating: Get your
earphone! Starting July 1, two new California laws take effect that says
you must be using a hands-free device for cell phones if you're driving
a car. And, the second one is that it will be against the law for anyone
under the age of 18 to use a wireless device in a moving vehicle. Listen
up! I have had one for over a year and really enjoy it and have pretty
much gotten over people thinking I am talking to myself when they see my
lips moving, but no phone.
Last Saturday I dropped off an old shredder at the
recycling center for all electronic equipment at UCLA. It is located on
the west side of the campus and very easy to find. It is just off of
Gayley and there are plenty of signs. It is open every Saturday from
8:00 am – 2:00 pm. But please do not forget that I will be more than
happy to swing by your house and pick up your old electronic equipment
as well as your ink cartridges and cell phones for recycling. Please
remember that our land fills are filling up very quickly and we all need
to do a much as we can to help our wonderful planet.
I also want to thank all of you who thank me for the
Schifferline and tell me how much you enjoy reading it. That means a lot
to me.
Remember toCOUNT
ON CAROLE FOR ALL OF YOUR REAL ESTATE NEEDS!!!
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
3 June 2008
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Roller coaster ride on the Westside....
It's been a long time since I've been on a roller coaster (Santa Monica pier,
(have you checked out the new one that was installed last week?), but the
current market sure feels like I'm on one now. Like most of you, I read the
papers and discover that housing prices are up, down, and sales volumes are half
of what they were a year ago. As a Realtor on the Westside, these local,
regional or national statistics have had an affect somewhat minimal at times,
more so at other times, on what we are seeing in Beverly Hills, Beverly Hills
Post Office, Bel-Air and Brentwood. We have consistently bucked these trends,
although we do see some dwindling sales volumes -- prices are up, volumes down.
I must admit that at times, it feels like I and the market are like a bouncing
ball… negative articles in the Los Angeles Times, and positive ones on the same
day in the Wall Street Journal. What is a girl to believe or do???
There are times that I find myself acting like
a 'cheerleader' -- trying to stay in a positive mode about the real
estate market, when everyone else is talking doom and gloom. Yes, there
are great buys out there, and if your home is priced correctly, it will
sell in less-than-average time. But over these good and not-so-good
times since I started the SchifferLine, I have been consistently
forthright -- giving you the same raw data that I have from the Beverly
Hills-Los Angeles Multiple Listing Service. Good or bad, you can count
on getting the latest 'real data' on your area (as defined by the MLS).
So here goes for May, 2008:
Beverly Hills, which continues to lead all
Westside areas in median sales prices ($3,775,000), showed another
strong increase over last year with a 24% bump, with a MSP of $3,881,000
vs. $3,132,500 in May ‘07. Beverly Hills Post Office had a 30% drop vs.
May 2007 with $1,537,000 vs. $2,222,500; Bel-Air had a 27% increase over
May of last year with $2,300,000 vs. $1,800,000; and Brentwood had a
relatively minor 8% drop in median sales price in May 2008 vs. May 2007
with $1,742,500 vs. $ 1,895,000. These statistics are only reflective of
the trending in real estate prices in these communities because some
months we will see a large sale ($15 million plus) skew the overall
median sales price. The monthly MLS numbers help us track these trends.
Like all trends, though, they don't always reflect individual markets or
monthly performances -- they're up and down, just like on a roller
coaster.
However, what is clear is that Westside real
estate -- overall -- is in a relative 'slump' -- sales volumes are down
in all areas by as much as 68% (BHPO), 65% (BH), 49% (Bel-Air), and 31%
(Brentwood). Prices are holding -- but the number of sales are
dramatically down. The market remains strong -- so, there you go!
Another up/down ride on our new solar powered roller coaster.
Another party heard from…… First Republic Quarterly Index -- Silver
lining for the Los Angeles Market
What
this Index shows is the 1985-2008 tracking of home prices in the greater
Los Angeles area for homes of $1,000,000 +.When the Index started in
1985; a $1 million home was considered prestige-valued homes. The
average median today is $2,352,000, dropping down from a high of
$2,468,000 in June 2007. The index measures homes with 3,000 to 6,000
square feet, three to six bedrooms, and three to six bathrooms.
The Los Angeles
market, according to the last quarter,
is "weaker because move-up buyers are
staying put”. The market is slow until
about $4 million, but the moment you hit
that threshold, there is consistent,
pent-up demand -- the higher the price,
the greater the demand." ("...it's
extraordinary.") -- something we have
been saying since we started The
SchifferLine over three years ago. The
stats from the following communities are
being drawn for Los Angeles – “Arcadia,
Beverly Hills, Pacific Palisades,
Pasadena, Playa del Rey, Santa Monica,
Studio City, and the West Los Angeles
enclaves of Bel Air, Brentwood and
Westwood”. “In producing this index, the
data is drawn from an economic data
base, years of experience in tracking
single-family values; collecting and
cross checking data from multiple
sources, a weighted balance of repeat
sales, comparable sales and physical
home characteristic
The First Republic Prestige Home Index for Los
Angeles is based on a portfolio representing a cross-section of homes valued
at $1 million or more in the greater Los Angeles metropolitan area.
Values of properties in the portfolio were traced
back to 1985 using regression analysis and then calculated for each year as
well as for each quarter since the fourth quarter of 1994.
For each home in the portfolio, a market
evaluation was performed for each time period taking into account repeat
sales, comparable sales, and characteristics such as size of house.
This chart shows changing values of a portfolio
of homes selected by First Republic, value of each home produced quarterly
Rather than give you more data, I thought I
would do something a little different... Here is the link for you to
take a test to see what your carbon footprint is.... it is quite
interesting and thought provoking.
http://www.conservation.org/act/live_green/Pages/ecofootprint.aspx
Have fun…
Remember to: COUNT ON
CAROLE FOR ALL OF YOUR REAL ESTATE NEEDS!!!
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
16 May 2008
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Reader asks: Am I chopped liver?
One of my favorite people pointed out that I might tend to ignore 'the other
people' -- those living outside of Beverly Hills, Brentwood and Bel-Air. "Am
I chopped liver, or what?" he queried after receiving the latest
Schifferline. Of course not, I reassured him. But he had a point -- my
traditional, primary areas are in those cities, and I admit I focus much of
what is in my semi-monthly newsletter on these areas. So I want to share
with you as to how other Westside areas were 'tracking' -- sales volume and
median sales price. And here's what is going on: The Westside communities
all appear to be in the same boat. The higher-priced neighborhoods are
holding firm on prices or showing significant increases in median sales
prices. Some areas are up one month, some down the next. So, let's take a
closer look at some of these other areas.
Westwood and Century City median sales price
for 2008 (vs. 2007) year to date is up 7.5%; Palms-Mar Vista is down
6.7%; but Santa Monica and Pacific Palisades are both up -- 43% and 17%
respectively over year-to-date MSP in 2007. What is interesting
regarding sales volume (where sales are down significantly over 2007);
Westwood-Century City sales are even for the comparable four-month 2008
period over last year. The other three areas show the same softer sales
volume as we have seen in Beverly Hills, Brentwood and Bel-Air --
Palms-Mar Vista is down 34%....Santa Monica is down 53%....and Pacific
Palisades is down 23% over 2007 year-to-date totals.
My friend happens to live in a condo in
Westwood, and as the above information pertains to single family
residences rather than condos, it would not be as pertinent for him, but
in general it is also interesting to see what is happening all over. No
matter -- the Westside continues to run counter to national and regional
trends -- prices remain firm or increasing over 2007; sales volumes are
significantly down. Opportunity? There are some outstanding properties
on the market now -- and as I have said -- properties that are priced
right sell quickly.
Remember Please -- I work in the entire Los
Angeles area, houses, condos, investment properties and leases….and just
recently sold a house in Westwood.
One marketing note, you may want to check out
OpenHouseLA on Sat. 24 May at 7:00 pm on NBC 4,. I will be appearing
with my beautiful new listing for $14,000,000 in Bel Air Crest. You can
also see photos of this fabulous house on its website… www.
Villabelaircrest.com
Morgan Faces Life at USC....it could be worse
So there I was helping shepherd my
niece, Morgan, through her first year at the University of Southern
California. For Auntie Carole (a UCLA grad), it was, indeed, a new
experience. It turned out to be a challenging but fruitful first year away
from Morgan's Vancouver, B.C. home. After attending a relatively small,
private school in Canada, she found the expansive USC campus in the middle
of Los Angeles somewhat intimidating at first, but she gradually slid into
her comfort zone meeting new friends at her dorm and in the classroom. She
learned to drive the freeways using the GPS system I bought for her ("I
still have a ways to go on this..."), and she enjoyed the weather,
especially in January and February when one wears ski parkas in Vancouver.
Southern California seemed to agree with her -
she told her mom about the many benefits of sitting around her dorm pool and
studying.
Morgan, 18, excelled in both her pre-med and
English studies the first semester, but her grades for the spring semester
won't be out until she returns home. And how did Auntie survive? Well, it
was wonderful to have her here. In the end, she did great and both my mother
and I loved living through her experiences with her -- it took us both back
to our child-raising and college days. Will she come back? Morgan is
exploring the possibility of a smaller college for her next year, so we'll
see if she returns in the fall. Turns out that USC ain't so bad after all.
Baseline Mansionization Ordinance
As you may know, the Los Angeles City Council passed a new ordinance pertaining
to how an owner can develop, remodel and/or make improvement to or rebuild their
property, including square footage (Los Angeles City Planning Case No 2007-106
CA). At this time, this ordinance only pertains to properties that are in the
“flats” and not the hillside such as Bel Air Crest, Mountaingate, Bel Air Park,
and lower Casiano. The City Council is now working on this and hope to have it
sometime soon for passage as well. For additional information regarding the
Ordinance, I am attaching a link for you so that you can read what the ordinance
means http://zimas.lacity.org/. I do not have expertise in this Mansionization
Ordinance area, and am passing this along for information purposes only.
Going Green -- Transitional and Organic Cotton
Much has been written lately about organic (and
transitional) cotton that has positive affects on the environment and
for your personal wardrobe.
Organic cotton is cotton that has been grown for at
least three years without chemical pesticides, defoliants, or
fertilizers. Fertilizers that are used include compost, manure,
naturally derived mineral and plant fertilizers, and crop rotation.
Insect controls involve the use of beneficial insects and natural
pesticides certified for organic crops. Organic cotton is also processed
without oils, chemicals, and pesticides. Transitional cotton is cotton
grown organically but for less than three years (which is the threshold
for being classified as 'organic').
Because of the rapidly developing bodies and immature
immune systems, babies and children can benefit greatly from pure,
organic cotton products. Organic cotton feels softer, smells cleaner,
and is less likely to trigger allergies.
The sustainable farming practices used to grow organic
cotton do not pollute groundwater, surface water, soil, or air. In fact,
soil quality is actually improved by the production of organic cotton.
Organic cotton is safer for farmers, for you, for your baby, for the
environment, and for all the other creatures with whom we share this
amazing planet.
Wal-Mart recently announced the purchase of 12 million
lbs. of transitional cotton to spur the growing of organic cotton.
Wal-Mart is selling a line of transitional cotton T-shirts called Faded
Glory
When you purchase organic cotton products, you send a
message with your money, a "dollar vote", that says 1) you will not
tolerate conventional cotton production, with its dangers to human
health and the environment, and that 2) you support sustainable farming
practices. Hopefully, other apparel manufacturers and retailers will
offer organic cotton products.
Have a wonderful Memorial Day… See you around.
Remember to:
COUNT ON CAROLE FOR ALL OF YOUR REAL ESTATE NEEDS!!!
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
2 May 2008
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Are we living on the housing fault line? Depends on where you live.
Associated Press reported last week: “… Sales of new homes (US) plunged in March
to the slowest pace in 16 ½ years as a two-year housing downturn extended into
the start of another spring sales season. The median price of a new home in
March compared to a year ago fell at the fastest clip in 38 years.” File that
away, if you’re interested in new home sales statistics.
With few new homes under construction and no large
tracks of new housing underway on the Westside, we take a jaundiced view
of these statistics that seem to roll off the presses (and your
computer) every week. When will the news get better, you ask? It seems
that any and all real estate news affects us – certainly Realtors who
specialize in the Westside. And April was no exception.
So, here goes: There was good news in Beverly Hills and
Bel Air where the median sales price for April 2008 (vs. April 2007) was
up 32% and 60% respectively... However, if you lived down the street and
your address was Brentwood or Beverly Hills Post Office – it was a
different story: BHPO was down 23% vs. a year ago, and Brentwood was not
far behind with -19%.
Good news, not so good news. This has been the theme of
the Schiffer Line for the past year as we have slid into a near
recession mode (but escaped this first quarter 2008, thank you). Some
neighborhoods do well for several months, then slide the next. What is
disturbing overall in these four communities is that sales volume, year
to date, is off by more than 51% -- a staggering # if you like to follow
these numbers – and Realtors do, by the way. Median sales price can be
skewed by an occasional anomaly – a house on the market in Beverly Hills
in November sold for $17 million. But it came back on the market in
March 2008 for 17 million, and it sold – but the MLS recorded the sale
for only $10! Of course, no one believes that…but that is how MLS stats
can be deceiving. After talking with the title company, we discover that
the house actually sold for $17 million in April 2008—which would jump
the city’s average from $3.8 million to $5.6 million for the eight homes
closing escrow this month.
As a dear friend reminded me the other day – statistics
form the MLS can play tricks on the actual state of affairs in a
community – especially when large sales can skew the month-end results.
The MLS has moved to clean this up, and they’re doing a great job – but
there are still glitches (like the $10 recorded sale in Beverly Hills).
We’re concerned for the short term about the lower sales
volumes – while we have seen our prices on the Westside hold against the
low tide elsewhere, it also means that sales of existing homes have
dramatically slowed down. – but NOT if your home is priced right.
Remember, even in tough times, a home that is priced correctly, will
sell – many times with multiple offers (yes, that is still happening
today) there recently was a home on North Beverly Glen that received 22
offers the first day it was on the market! Those statistics in our
market prove that. Do we live on a fault line? Are we sinking into the
Pacific Ocean? Not yet. Stay tuned.
Now
for the Green news…As an homage to April
being “Earth Month”, I have a little more tips than usual.. I hope you
like them!! I hope you like them!!
Greening your swimming pool
By green I don’t mean the color of the water in your swimming pool I am
referring to lessening the environment impact.
If you’re a pool owner, here’s some issues to take into
consideration and ideas to help lessen the impact your pool has on the
environment – and the one major green step you can take is to use a pool
cover.
Evaporation
It’s just not the amount of water that initially is put in a pool that’s a
problem, an uncovered pool with dimensions of 18 feet X 36 feet can lose around
7,000 gallons of water a year just through evaporation depending on where you
live. To put that into perspective, that’s enough water to sustain a human for
29 years.
A pool cover/blanket can reduce evaporation by a massive
90-95% and they are quite inexpensive to buy. While most pool blankets are
made from plastics, it’s a case of the lesser of the two evils.
Leaks
I’ve read that up to 1 in 5 swimming pools leak. A small leak in a pool can
cause the loss of 700 gallons of water per day. If your pool is losing over a
quarter inch of water every 24 hours (or half an inch in particularly hot , dry
regions), it’s a good indication you may have a leak.
By addressing leaks and evaporation, you’ll not only save
precious potable water, you’ll likely save a ton of money as well.
Chemicals
Chorine can be nasty and a recent study drew a possible link between chlorinated
pools and asthma in children. Draining pools and discharging backwash can cause
problems to waterways if it’s not done correctly. If you do need to use chlorine
in your pool and find the occasion to drain it, avoid adding chlorine for a full
week before emptying the pool
Again a pool cover/blanket can reduce chemical use by up to
50%. Evaporative pool chemicals contribute to the production of greenhouse
gases; so you’ll be doing good there as well in chemical reduction.
Some alternatives to chlorine include copper ionization and
oxygen systems, ultraviolet (UV) sanitization system or possibly salt,
although I believe with the latter, other chemicals also need to be added.
Energy/Heating
If you heat your pool you’re in a for a nasty shock when it comes time to pay
your utility bill.. Building on the pool blanket idea, you can buy bubble covers
that are basically a solar energy collector, increasing your pool temperature
substantially and helping to lock the heat in. Apparently clear blankets are the
best option
Once again, please do not hesitate to get in touch with me
for any of your real estate needs,
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
.
18 April 2008
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Westside's prices continue to hold....but sales are down
So what is more important -- the volume of real estate sold in your neighborhood
or the value of your home? The answer is clear to any homeowner who is selling
(vs. the ones who are not): Home prices affect the homeowner more than the
volume sold, even though the two are linked like brother and sister. In this
real estate market, strength is measured by both sales volume (the total amount
of homes sold in any given period) and by the selling price of homes (what the
MLS refers to commonly as the median sales price).
But for the homeowner, the actual selling price is the
all-important measurement. No one likes to see the median sales prices fall,
because it affects -- directly and indirectly -- the value of your home
investment. So there is good news for homeowners.
Median sales prices in three communities -- Bel-Air, Brentwood and
Beverly Hills are all up over the past two months.
For example, the MSP for Beverly Hills was up 43% over 2007 for March and up 72%
over February 2008 -- a sizable jump. Bel-Air was up 10% over 2007 for March
2008 and up more than 54% over February. And in Brentwood, the median sales
price went up 50% over the previous 2007 March period and up a whopping 89% over
February 2008. Beverly Hills Post Office recorded 10% decline over 2007 (March
comparison) and 54% under February 2008.
What does all this mean?
It means, for the most part -- that real estate prices are
holding for homes in three of the four areas (but also recognize that BHPO
has performed well through 2007 -- so the declines the past two months are
not indicative of the community's strength).
Total sales volume for the first quarter 2008 is off by more
than 50% in our four areas (Bel-Air, Brentwood, Beverly Hills and Beverly
Hills Post Office) vs. the same period in 2007. The slowdown in real estate
sales is not new news, but the current market reflects buyers' reluctance to
move quickly in these more challenging times of tighter credit and less “
good” inventory. But the good news is that sellers are getting the price if
their home is priced right, and many homes are getting multiple offers,
including one in Bel Air Crest this week, and another on another home a few
weeks ago..
Days-On-Market (DOM) is another sign of the market's
strength, and I am happy to see that the average number of days a home is on
the market is dropping -- just 73 DOM's average for all four of these
communities. Lowest average DOM is Brentwood (42 days) and the highest is
Beverly Hills (108). So, we are moving homes quicker and the average sales
price is 95% of the original asking price -- another good sign.
In the end, we are seeing signs that Spring is beginning to
shows signs of life in the local real estate market. As a 25-year real
estate professional, I get energized by the Spring weather and the increased
real estate activity -- this is a great time to sell and a great time to
buy. There are buyers out there who are anxiously looking for their dream
home. There are sellers who have chosen this time of year to sell -- and
whether you're a buyer or seller, you should consider making your move now.
And I'm here to help.
Green Tip of the Month
- Mothball alternatives
Mothballs may be effective, but the smell leaves a lot to be desired.
Matching the smell is a mothball's toxicity - they are rather nasty from an
environmental point of view.
Back when I was growing up, mothballs were made mainly of
naphthalene, which is highly flammable. These days mothballs are made from
dichlorobenzene instead. Anything with the word "benzene" in it is cause for
alarm as these substances tend to be carcinogenic.
While dichlorobenzene breaks down "safely" in the air -
it's a pesticide and heavy concentrations can have ill effects on animals
and humans. Dichlorobenzene doesn't dissolve easily in water nor is it
readily broken down by soil organisms. It can also accumulate in the fatty
tissues of animals and humans. Another component of traditional mothballs is
camphor.
While camphor is a natural product that comes from the
wood of the camphor laurel tree; much of the camphor used in commercial
products these days is a synthetic - and how that's made is anyone's guess.
Ditch the mothballs -
greener alternatives
While having moths dine on your expensive woolens is very
undesirable, there are some more earth friendly alternatives to mothballs:
- Ensure all your woolens are washed before storing. This
is to ensure any eggs have been removed and odd as it may seem, it appears
moths are attracted to human scents.
- Wipe out all containers or drawers to be used for
storage to remove any existing moth eggs.
- Ensure clothes are thoroughly dry before storing -
- Store clothing in well sealed containers
- Try one of the following in a
cheesecloth bag; but ensure the bag doesn't touch the clothes: Bay leaves,
cedar shavings, cinnamon sticks, cloves, eucalyptus leaves, lavender,
peppercorns, rosemary, wormwood. Cedar balls and blocks are also said to be
effective in repelling moths, but need to be sanded occasionally in order to
"refresh" them.
I hope you enjoy this newsletter. If you would prefer to
receive it via e-mail, please send me an e-mail @ ceschiffer@aol.com,
and I will be more than happy to add you to my list.
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
14 March 2008
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Happy St. Patrick's Day -- so where's the (corned) beef? And kissing
the stone.
Corned beef and cabbage is as Irish as it gets, right? Wrong. You might be
surprised to learn that this traditional Irish dish is more American than
Irish. "This is an American creation," one Irish-born friend recently told
me. And after browsing the Google Library, I discovered she was right. In a
survey of Irish radio listeners, not one mentioned corned beef and cabbage
as their main dish for “The Day”. In fact, one listener said it perhaps best
of all...."Eat? I eat pints,” and referred jocularly to the pint of Guinness
as a "shamrock sandwich". And green beer is purely American. But who cares?
Go enjoy your green beer and corned beef and cabbage anyway. Another bit of
Blarney. There is Blarney Castle, County Cork, Ireland, which is home to the
famous Blarney Stone located on the castle grounds. Nearly 600,000 visitors
trek to the Castle -- which was formed in the 11th century -- to kiss the
Blarney Stone each year -- which means one will never be 'lost for words'.
Because the Irish love words, the Blarney Stone will remain a national
treasure.
The Scorecard....UCLA Anderson predicts no recession. But it
depends.
If you happened to see the latest economic forecast from UCLA's Anderson School
of Business (uclaforecast.com), you will be happy to learn that in their
opinion, we are not headed for a recession, although you may have heard
otherwise. According to the school's two senior economists, Ryan Ratcliff and
Jerry Nickelsburg, Southern California's economy, while experiencing difficulty
in the real estate-related sectors, is still strong in other areas. ""The
current state of the California economy and our forecast fall short of the
weakness in previous historical episodes that we've chosen to label recessions,"
Ratcliff and Nickelsburg wrote.”Based on comparing the current economy to past
recession episodes, we once again conclude that real estate weakness will remain
a significant drag on the economy, leaving us treading water in 2008 — but not
slipping under the waves into recession." Both of them mention that they know
they are swimming upstream and that their opinions are contrary to others, but
they have stuck their necks out before and have proven to be correct.. Let’s
hope they are again.
Credit losses in the mortgage
industry will continue to affect us according the UCLA Forecast, and
while we're not headed for a recession, we will have a weak 2008. Am
I a 'Pollyanna'? Yes and no. .
The other side of the coin...
According to a recent article in the
Los Angeles Times, about 54 % of the CFO’s that were interviewed by
Duke University/CFO magazine feel that the US in already in a
recession… So what is the actual definition of a recession?
Definition:
A recession is defined to be a period of two quarters of negative
GDP growth. Thus: a recession is a national or world event, by
definition. And statistical aberrations or one-time events can
almost never create a recession; e.g. if there were to be movement
of economic activity (measured or real) around Jan 1, 2000, it could
create the appearance of only one quarter of negative growth. For a
recession to occur the real economy must decline.Definition:
A recession is defined to be a period of two quarters of negative
GDP growth.
Let's see what is happening in our
neighborhoods?
Market is picking up steam...CB Brentwood Court office sales are up
for February.
We actually may get some rain this weekend
after experiencing many wonderful, sunny Southern California days of
'perfect weather'. Yes, we are blessed with not only good weather, but
we also have escaped many of the downturns in the real estate market
other areas are experiencing. Nothing is more personal than what is
going on in my real estate office and in my 'career' as a Realtor. And
there is good news. January sales volume for our Brentwood Court office
for Coldwell Banker was up nearly 25% in January over 2007 (27 sales in
’07 vs. 17 in ’08) (one of the Feb. sales was for $15,000,000); and
February was another outstanding month, with sales up another 25% over
the same period last year ( 28 un 2007 and 35 in 2008). In a review of
the weekly 'caravan' tour of Westside homes on Wednesday, we all perked
up -- there were multiple offers on nearly half of the 25 listings that
agents in my office had seen this past Tuesday. This is a welcomed
change for sellers, and it indicates that there is renewed energy in the
marketplace. There is a pent-up demand for homes that are well priced
and meet their needs -- they are going for it. If not, discerning buyers
are staying away in droves.
With interest rates on the rise
(slightly), home buyers are reluctant to keep waiting for the market to
flatten (or even go down) because they can't afford higher rates,
especially with the credit tightening going on. Seeing a noticeable bump
in sales is a sign of strength for our Westside real estate market.
But, frankly speaking, nothing hits closer
to home than how "I" am doing”. A real estate professional for nearly 25
years, I was a bit worried about my own success at the beginning of the
year. In 2007, I had a spectacular start -- one of the best in my career
-- only to find a slow second half. So, when I trailed last year's '
start, my accountant reminded me: "Carole, you are performing at the
rate that will make 2008 an even better year overall. You're doing
great." I needed that.
Green tip for the day: Here is a web site that handles this for
you. Go to: www.catalogchoice.org -- Select from an alphabetically list
and indicate which catalog you don't want to receive. Warning: This will
take some time, because the list is very long. Does it work? Yes it
does…. It just takes a bit of time and maintenance to do through. . This
option has already cut down on the number of catalogs I get at home. If
it doesn't work, you may have to call the company specifically and tell
them directly. Good luck!
Remember to: COUNT ON CAROLE
FOR ALL OF YOUR REAL ESTATE NEEDS!!!
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
4 March 2008
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And the hits just keep on coming....Westside is its own story
Every month, I review the latest Multiple Listing
statistics for the neighborhoods I specialize in -- Beverly Hills,
Beverly Hills Post Office, Brentwood and Bel-Air. . After all, keeping
track of trends in real estate, especially in these crazy times, is
important when it concerns one of your largest personal investments.
So, when I see wild swings in some months, which we
have witnessed over the past several years during this bumpy real estate
market, I have learned to "...take a deep breath, maybe take a walk, and
then come back to see what is really going on."
What is really going on is that while we had some
wild swings in sales volumes between January 2008 and February 2008,
median sales prices for three out of the four areas I specialize in are
up over last year, and that's good news.
Median sales prices through 2008 (first two months)
vs. 2007 (same period) show that Beverly Hills is up 10% in price,
Beverly Hills Post Office is up 36%, and Brentwood, which has enjoyed a
recent renaissance, is up an impressive 70%. Bel-Air is down 30% for the
year compared to 2007, but as I have said in the past, this could be an
anomaly, too. Bel-Air is tracking behind the other three areas I cover.
Overall, January sales were very strong for Beverly Hills Post Office
and Brentwood, and the median price -- always a key indicator -- remains
firm in all areas except in Bel-Air. Overall the number of sales is
decent with 8 closed escrows in Beverly Hills in Feb. 08 vs. 10 in
January, 2 in Beverly Hills Post Office vs. 5 in Jan, 6 in Bel-Air vs.
7, and 8 in Brentwood vs. 13 in January. We must remember that for the
majority most of the January closed escrows are sales that actually took
place in December or perhaps even November.
One of my neighbors, who also happens to be real
estate a broker came into one of my open houses recently and we were
discussing the most recent stats for Bel- Air and why they are down when
everything else on the Westside is not ( you would not believe what is
going on in Westwood!). It was and is something of a puzzlement. We
decided perhaps it is because Bel -Air real estate is so varied.. we
have a number of hillside communities, as well as properties in the
“flats” where as all of the other three areas are more commodious … i.e.
Beverly Hills is all flat., Brentwood is generally the same and BHPO is
all hillside…
Buy, Sell, -- Oh, my, what should we do?
A popular subject these days....every family,
every home, and every neighborhood is different. Motivation to buy
or sell seem to cross through our minds, especially in real estate
markets of the past when prices were shooting through the
roof...when multiple offers were throwing buyers (and sellers) in a
frenzied state....and now, with the market in a more normal
condition, we ponder 'what to do'. There are currently multiple
offers on a number of properties that have been on the market for a
while.. the buyers are out there….
On a recent Today show (NBC), noted NY real
estate guru, Barbara Corcoran, talked about this -- when to buy or
sell. She had some good advice, and from my perspective as a 15-year
Bel-Air resident and lifelong member of the Westside community here
is what I tell my clients:
If you want to buy -- There are many compelling reasons to
buy now, one of the most important of which is the fact that real
estate is good investment, and we all have to remember that at the
end of the day, we are buying a property that is going to be our
home, and not just an investment.. Yes, prices are still steady in
our neighborhoods, but interest rates are dropping to
'good-ol'days-levels' (less than 6%), and some sellers are anxious
to sell and have priced their homes accordingly. Over-priced homes
still abound in every area, so you need a sharp Realtor (me) to help
you avoid these money pits. So now is a good time to buy -- right.
If you want to sell -- Again, pricing is the key. There are
many, many buyers out there -- more than sellers. As I have said
many .many times, presentation and location, in addition to price,
will continue to be the critical factors in how well you do at Sales
Time. A knowledgeable Realtor (Me) is requisite in this process.
Community News of Note
I haven't fully digested the latest EIR on the
405 Widening project , which just came out. Nothing is settled
yet on this latest bit information on this very critical development,
but they appear to be moving forward. We still have no new news on the
reverse lane project on Sepulveda.
My Green tip - UCLA is sponsoring a
Hi-Tech Dump program -- you can bring your printers, computers,
fax machines and television sets to the UCLA campus every
Saturday from 8:00am. to 2:00pm. The address is 552 Charles
Young Drive, which is right off of Sunset Boulevard. I am still
collecting all of your old cell phones and printer ink
cartridges.. just give me a call and I will be more than happy
to swing by and pick them up.. Also please don’t forget that the
money from the items I pick up support programs for public
schools throughout the state of California
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
14 February 2008
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The Wild, Wild West......2008 starts out with a 'bang'
Hold onto your seats, we may be in a for a wild ride
with Westside real estate this year, especially if you live in Beverly
Hills and Brentwood. But it all "depends". On what? When I reviewed the
monthly (January 2008) Multiple Listing Services, Beverly Hills had a
58% increase in median sales price over January 2007....and Brentwood
had more than 123% increase for the same year-to-year period. The
Bel-Air and Beverly Hills Post Office communities had essentially no
change over the past year for January 2008 vs. 2007.
On closer inspection, there were several large sales
that skewed these results -- a sale of $16 million on a Beverly Hills
home which affected the increase in this area, and two sales of $10.750
million and $14 million respectively in Brentwood which caused the
median sales price to leap more than 100%. Overall, with sales prices
holding firm in all of the four areas, the Westside continues to
demonstrate why our neighborhoods show sustainability on the price side,
always a key indicator of home values. By the way, last weekend I spent
some time with members of YPO (Young President’s Organization) who were
here as part of a package for the Grammy’s. While they are here, I serve
as the friendly tour guide for Westside real estate tours. There were 40
YPOers on my tour from all over the world. As I am sure you know, the
Westside is not the only market that appears to be immune to the
sub-prime debacle.. Other strong real est ate markets include, Manhattan
(NY), Miami, Florida, (specifically South Beach), Aspen, Salt Lake City
and Park City to name a few.
So, what's ahead for this year? What can we expect regarding our home
values?
With the passage of the President’s economic
stimulus package, and the increase in the amount of the conforming
loans from $417,000 to $729,000, it appears that the upward flow of
activity has already begun, and there probably will be more interest
rate cuts in the next few months.
As always, the economy greatly influences real
estate home pricing. Certainly, foreclosure news resonates in every
area in the US. So, it is not surprising that the Westside has
experienced some foreclosures. In Brentwood, seven homes and one
condo were foreclosed in 2007, however that is exactly the same
number as in 2006. In Beverly Hills there were four homes, and in
Bel-Air, 11 homes. None in Beverly Hills Post Office. One of the
biggest banks in the country, Bank of America, has a total of 139
properties in the entire state of California! How bad is that?
According the Gary Watts, a noted real estate economist, California
and Florida led the list in foreclosed properties, but as stated
above, it is very much higher in specific regions of the state such
as the San Bernardino and Riverside counties
In Watt's' 2008 Economic and Housing
Report, which was presented to Coldwell Banker agents on February 4,
he noted the enormous (and growing) wealth of Californians. Of the
390 billionaires in the US, 88 live in our state. And the Federal
Reserve reports that consumers have $5 trillion in liquid cash
"sitting in banks and savings and loans". and over the top 85% of
the nation's wealth resides with the richest 15% of Americans (the
bottom 50% of Americans hold only 3.5% of the nation's wealth). He
also told us that 26% of the homes owned in the state of California
are owned free and clear.
In balance, as we continue to see other local,
regional and national areas experience steep price downturns, our
Westside homes maintain strong values. It is just another sign of
the enduring strength of our neighborhoods.
Other key indicators rise on the Westside
There were two seemingly unrelated events
that underscore our Westside real estate strength: 1) My office, the
Coldwell Banker Brentwood Court office, showed a 22% increase in
home sales in January -- $50 million ('08) vs. $41 million over the
previous January, and 2) a very excited and proud Westside buyer of
a home that has been on the market for three months, had just
purchased it Super Bowl morning. He asked if he could be there for
the open house and proceeded to tell everyone who came into the
property that day (80 different parties) about the wonderful
purchase he had made and a number of them said… “Gee I wish I had
known about this house, I would have bought it!” Bottom line: We are
seeing significant strength in the market and the buyers are out
there!
Green tip of the week.
For those of you who use fabric softener sheets.. here
is some news:
Most commercial dryer sheets are impregnated with all
sorts of toxic chemicals including Benzyl Acetate, Benzyl Alcohol,
Chloroform and Linalool; none of which are good for the environment - or
you. Some of these compounds are known carcinogens.
Aside from the chemicals in the sheets winding up in
your clothing and therefore next to your skin, when heated, the fumes
are also toxic. If you're looking for a greener alternative to dryer
sheets; here's a couple of ideas that are very easy and cheap to do:
--Fill a small cloth drawstring bag with dried aromatic
herbs or flowers and throw in the dryer with your clothes. Make sure the
bag is tied securely of course :)
- A few drops of fragrant essential oil on a small
cloth added to the dryer load will also do the trick. Essential oils are
highly concentrated, so don't go overboard, the heat will release more
fragrance than what you can detect when initially applying a few drops
to the cloth.
Timely real estate news from Carole Schiffer
25 January 2008
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Do we live in our own country?
What does this mean exactly? Is the Westside its own
little piece of the world? Prices and the real estate market on the
Westside seem to be in a country of its own. Are we being impacted by
the real estate and lending markets, stock market and the overall
malaise of the economy? Absolutely. But not -- at least at this point in
time – as has been felt in other parts of the country or state.
What does this mean exactly? Is the Westside its own
little piece of the world? Prices and the real estate market on the
Westside seem to be in a country of its own. Are we being impacted by
the real estate and lending markets, stock market and the overall
malaise of the economy? Absolutely. But not -- at least at this point in
time – as has been felt in other parts of the country or state.
Will this change -- who knows -- but I can tell you
while it is a little quieter than it has been, there is still a good
amount of activity out there.
Houses are still being sold, sometimes with multiple
offers….open houses are still being well attended. Sometimes we are
seeing as many as 50 groups coming through on a Sunday afternoon, and
they are not all “looky loos” or curious neighbors -- they are buyers
looking to make a purchase! Inventory is up and for now it appears that
prices are holding steady, and as always…property that is well
positioned is selling and will continue to do. So, in our little world,
we’re doing better than most. And that’s good.
2007 really wasn't a bad year for Westside real
estate. As I mentioned in my Quarterly Newsletter at the end of last
year, overall prices and sales volumes on the Westside held in 2007.
According to the MLS for the month of December, there was an increase of
13% in the median sales price -- over 2006 -- for Beverly Hills, an 18%
increase for Beverly Hills Post Office, and median sales prices were
essentially even for Bel-Air and Brentwood compared 2006. In an economy
fraught with horror stories of double-digit declines in sales and home
prices nearing 20%, you have to step back and say, "well, we're not too
bad after all." Sales volume for all four areas was up a modest 1.5% --
the total sales volume for 2007 was $3.256 billion . So, when you really
step back and look at our Westside Country. There are few areas in the
world where these volumes compare. I will have the January stats in the
next SchifferLine.
I have set up a recycling program in my office that
I would like to extend to you. We are collecting all ink and toner
cartridges as well as cell phones. They are sent to a company that
recycles them and then donates the money to schools all over the
state of California. If you would like to participate with me in
this most valuable program, please give me a call at 310 442-1384,
and I will be more than happy to stop by and pick up your items for
recycling. We all need do our part to help out.
If you ever went to Disneyland as a kid, you saw the
'home of the future' (GE Theater)....sort of a Fred Flintstone
version of what the modern home would be like in 20-30 years. New
and cheaper technologies and an intense desire of homeowners to make
life easier (and more secure) drove this burgeoning industry to
develop efficient, cost-effective 'intelligent homes'
The future is certainly here now -- and it's not
science fiction. There are many small-to-large companies
specializing in this field today (my son in law is involved in this
in Bend, Oregon, and the activity there is off the charts!).. And
the forecast is that homeowners will spend $1.3 billion on home
intelligent systems this year, and will spend $10 billion in 2010.
This includes sales for home security, lighting, and temperature
controls as well as home entertainment systems. It is not about
upgrading your individual systems to more state-of-the-art
technology, it is about integrating the systems into a comprehensive
management program that is designed to fit everyone's needs within
the household.
These systems add greatly to the valuation of your
home, and my experience has shown that when a home is on the market with
a 'working, easy-to-use' system, it greatly increases the value and
ability to sell the property more quickly. The trouble is that many
homeowners have some type of 'intelligent' system installed (speakers
systems is an example) -- that don't work. So, if you have a system
installed already, make sure it works. If you really want to enhance
your living environment, then I highly recommend you look at an
Intelligent Home system.
Lowest mortgage
rates on fixed loans in four years!
It was reported on Thursday that fixed rate mortgages
moved lower and actually are now at their lowest levels in four years.
This translates into more buying power for anyone in the market to buy a
home. In addition, sellers with properly priced homes will have more
buyers looking at their property and therefore a higher probability of a
sale. This is great news for both buyers and sellers!
There are some components that are a part of the
economic stimulus package that will be great for our area, but until the
package is approved, we obviously won’t know what exactly we will be
dealing so.. so that will be covered in the next SchifferLine as well.
Thank you to all of you who let me know that you are reading the
SchifferLine and care. It is always such fun to meet you and have
various lines from past SchifferLines’ quoted back to me or to be asked
how my niece is enjoying USC – she has settled in now…though I am still
trying to get out of the “clothes-washing thing” and very glad that she
will soon have her own car!. Or where is my next trip? I also want to
thank who ever it was that wrote and made some suggestions and
corrections about the hyphenation of Bel-Air. It is wonderful to know
you care .Keep all of your cards, letters and calls coming!
Carole
Carole Schiffer, Realtor
Coldwell-Banker/Brentwood Court Office
310-442-1384 (office) or e-me at ceschiffer@aol.com
www.caroleschiffer.com
* This
information only reflects properties listed on the multiple listing
service.
Broker/Agent does not guarantee the accuracy of square footage, lot size
or any other information concerning the condition or features of
property provided by the seller or obtained from public records or other
sources, and the buyer is advised to independently verify the accuracy
of that information through personal inspection and with appropriate
professionals.